December 13, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Worthy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Tapnow | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Myblendofwhisky | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ipidate | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Sniper | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artillero | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Primetime Tiz | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pursuit of a Dream | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tamy’s Shot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Honest Tina | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rwanda | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Silver | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Toga’s Margrock | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Watch My Steam | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shakeitifuluvme | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Line Running Lass | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Father of Storms | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Steamy Cry | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Hunky Dory | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sarah’s Prayer | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hashtag Fake News | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yankee’s Fanny | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Minion Money | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goodbee | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Space Cowgirl | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Band Annie | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Thunder Alley | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Starook | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Spotsback | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fireman Isaac Max | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brie Brie’s Joy | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Valid Prospector | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackson T. | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Escape | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Will Burn Tails | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honest Spree | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pep Last Dream | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Donttakeitpersonal | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | I Believe in Us | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Live Like Jerry | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bambini | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Doolin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Drewmatic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Clever Racer | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Steppin’ Star | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wirey Won | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Seniorbling | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | That’s D ‘cat | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Skippinonthewall | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Ten | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | So Silly Lillie | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wrap It Up | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Missbudlitetime | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kateline’s Dreamer | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queezee Proud | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malila | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Lavendator | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breeze of Cinnamon | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Castalia Bella | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Z Bonita | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ellerbe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bob’s Pickles | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Don’t Blame Dexter | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mr Red Sensation | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Loaded Dynamite | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Collin’s Express | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clearedfor Takeoff | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Be Quick | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elephante M | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strawn’s Cash | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ide Be Doc Adams | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Couche Couche | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heavy On Themister | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Youve Got a Friend | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deadly Truth | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Production | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kiss Him Twice | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jo Allen’s Buddy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smoothmoney | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | At Bat | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tonto M | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shda Binn Discreet | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lukes Bad Boy | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rooster Bullet | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thats It Imleaving | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Witch Hunt | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | C C’s Baby Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | La Zota D’ Oros | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Secret Wonder | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | That’s a Song | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kiwi Magic | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Velleity | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cat’s Prayer | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | This Aint Dallas | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Play That Song | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carson’s Cowgirl | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Missbonquiqui | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roll On Baby | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.