Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 17, 2017

December 17, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Private Party 2.50 2.5 5-1
1A 5 Big Ragu 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 10 Cork Arm 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 3 Divine Holiday 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 1 M J All Day 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Elite Score 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Friend to Me 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 8 Kid Pichongo 6.00 6.9 13-1
2B 9 Mr. Nine Five Four 6.00 7 13-1
4 2 Merry Mike 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 I. Damiana 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Princess Lu Lu 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Shezaprado 2.50 SCRATCH
8 5 I Hope You Dance 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Dancing Waves (IRE) 4.50 3.4 7-1
1 1 Trust in Diane 3.50 3.5 7-1
9 6 Catty Krys 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 4 Golden Treasury 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Very Elegant 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stack House 10.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Dude Greeley 3.50 3 6-1
6 5 A Higher Wager 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Jake the Band Man 3.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Doug’s Bug 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Papa Buck 6.00 5.6 10-1
8 7 Coast Guard Kid 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Ride 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Amber’s Friend 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Kzixon Vengeance 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Messiah 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Highway Song 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Neverquitdreaming 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Super Factor 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 King of Candy 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sacred Walk 20.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Flatexcel 10.00 3 6-1
7 4 It Is Time 2.00 3.1 6-1
13 7 Zanesville 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 3 Taranto 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 5 Come On Dover 10.00 4.7 9-1
14 8 Zero Gravity 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 G’s Turn 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 2 Julie’s Jackpot 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Saguaro Row 5.00 SCRATCH
6 5 America’s Tale 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Sterling Miss 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 1 Missive 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 Rosie O’Prado 4.50 4 8-1
4 3 Spanky 6.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Boyhood Dream 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 War Tom 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Good Offense 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Uncail 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Vic the Boss 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Art of the Dream 8.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Time Flies By 3.50 2.6 5-1
10 6 Soul Beam 8.00 3.4 6-1
12 7 Talking Zip 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Ride a Comet 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Run Your Race 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 4 Go for Moonshine 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Satellite 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 And Isles 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Actress On Board 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Lesley May 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Memorial Drive 3.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Lightning Twice 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Make It Run 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Miss Mercken 10.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 N. D. Free 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Paternal Pride 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Camp Creek 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Aces High 8.00 SCRATCH
11 7 He’ll Pay 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Esposito 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Lu Rae’s Lucky Sky 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Forevamo 4.00 SCRATCH
13 8 Thirstforlife 3.00 2.3 4-1
16 10 Lieutenant Seany O 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Jess I Am 6.00 4.6 9-1
15 9 Whateverybodywants 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Rapid Red 8.00 5.4 10-1
10 6 United Stand 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Patrick’s Day 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 5 Dark Arden 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Zinger 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Annie Had a Baby 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Vanishing Image 20.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Nola Fashion 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 7 Dreamy Art 4.50 3.4 7-1
4 2 Betty Booyah 3.00 3.9 7-1
10 8 New Orleans Spice 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 4 Hot Yankee 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 1 Naughty Little Nun 8.00 5.5 10-1
11 9 Callmeonmycellfone 12.00 6 11-1
7 5 Penny Coin Toss 12.00 6 11-1
5 3 Fancy Pants Jen 15.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.