December 23, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Samurai Warrior | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Peculiar Sensation | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Honor and Pleasure | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Adirondack Dream | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My Perfect Gem | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ten Twenty Nine | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Facade | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alexander David | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ed’s Quick Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Big Auk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Port Arch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Classi Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Salty Slew | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Mr. Massena | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Frozen Angel | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Pence | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Barefoot Angel | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Shipsandgoods | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | St. Patrick Frost | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Water Trough | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Luzinski | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Thenameescapesme | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bear Right | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tap Tap Taparoo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Lady Suebee | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No Deal | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Miss Lilly | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Rose of Savanna | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Twofer | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Dog Matters | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Southern Union | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Conquest Prankster | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blewitt | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Get Game | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ro Bear | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Clutch Cargo | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Heart in Hand | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prophet’s Cat | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Helooksthepart | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Gift Box | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fox Rules | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Harlan Punch | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tusk | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pioneer Spirit | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Full Salute | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Total Tap | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Binkster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Flash Drive | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Nolinski | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Connolly’s Beads | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Equal the Score | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Did It | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Comeoncomeoncat | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cain Is Abel | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Leap to Glory | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tell Me Ma | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Soup Baby | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Simma Cum Laude | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Gravesend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gold for the King | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Life in Shambles | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Threefiveindia | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chief Lion | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Great Stuff | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Green Gratto | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Do Share | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Truth Or Else | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Queens County S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Backsideofthemoon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Lover | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Watershed | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doyouknowsomething | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kurilov (CHI) | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alex the Terror | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senior Investment | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Securitiz | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zanotti | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lil Renegade | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | My Won Love | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Josephine’s Moment | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Da Wildcat Girl | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Exchanging Secrets | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Head Shrinker | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bamboo Stick | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Soxy Ruby | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kentucky Dancer | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Loyal Heart | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Causeway Cutie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.