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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 12, 2018

January 12, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vilma 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Mr. Dougie Fresh 3.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Hembree 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 California Swing 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Brianbakescookies 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Going Strong 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cocktail Countess 2.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Solitary Gem 1.40 2.4 4-1
6 5 Gia Michael 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Netti’s Legacy 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Lillard Hall 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Morning Traveler 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Beyondelle 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Girlie’s Dream 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Connie A 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Cotton Candy Cutie 1.20 3.3 6-1
5 5 Graceful Gal 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Baronet 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Unbridledadventure 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Beyond Discreet 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 War Eagle’s Return 2.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Afleet Martini 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Bluegrass Singer 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Strueves Star 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 No Hiding Place 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Power Nap 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Roman Revival 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Global Positioning 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Bluegrass Prevails 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Pegasus Red 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Brimstone 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Fratello Del Nord 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Sol the Freud 4.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Bigshotinthenews 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alva T Soup 20.00 SCRATCH
3A 3 Impazible Creek 1.20 SCRATCH
8A 8 Impazible Woman 1.20 2.2 4-1
5 5 Goldtown 3.00 3.6 7-1
9B 9 Catchmewithasmile 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Carlisle Belle 12.00 4.2 8-1
10B 10 Lookin Kinda Crazy 4.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Desert Affair 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Tiffany’s Vision 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 You Promise 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Acquainted 1.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Diamond Jen Brady 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 My Roxy Girl 3.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Salty Smile 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Blushing Justine 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Gypsy Janie 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Dream Fever 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 She’s Delightful 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Paranoia 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Verdad S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Holiday Disguise 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Quezon 1.40 2.1 4-1
2 2 Absatootly 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Palladian Bridge 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Bee Noteworthy 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 She’s All Ready 30.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Wonderment 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Orchid Party 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Forever Daisy 15.00 SCRATCH
9A 9 Lady Vicki 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Scorpion Bowl 3.50 2.8 5-1
12 12 Queen Apollo 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Puffery 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 My Victoria Rose 4.50 5.4 10-1
10 10 Breezy Gal 15.00 5.7 11-1
5A 5 Sunshine Gal 5.00 5.8 11-1
14 14 Velvet Trinni 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Starlite Mission 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Iridescent Morn 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 My Lightnin Strike 20.00 7.2 14-1
13 13 Sundance Joy 50.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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