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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 13, 2018

January 13, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Praetereo 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Conquest Bigluck E 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Nominal Dollars 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Ro Bear 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Try Flying 4.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Motown Sound 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Cotton Town 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Thirsty Donnerstag 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lem Me Tel Ya 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Flipped 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Connolly’s Beads 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Threefortyfive 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 It’s Hot Out 8.00 SCRATCH
5 2 Belleville Spring 1.60 2 4-1
7 3 Cain Is Abel 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 Playboy Johnny 20.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 T R Crew 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Pioneer Spirit 1.60 2.4 5-1
5 5 Flash Trading 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Bolita Boyz 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Very Very Stella 5.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Catapult Jack 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Toast to Ghost 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Tammany Giant 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 4 Barefoot Angel 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Salty Slew 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Heat Check 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 St. Patrick Frost 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Pimm’s Cup 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Ed’s Quick Cat 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Lobbyist 30.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Say Florida Sandy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Celtic Chaos 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ostrolenka 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Gold for the King 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 My Boy Tate 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Eye Luv Lulu 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Candid Desire 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Pat On the Back 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Haul Anchor 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Daddy’s Home 3.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Bartleby 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Polar City 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Light the Vow 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Son of Mine 4.50 4 8-1
5 4 Best Surprise 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 City Traveler 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Shimmering Moon 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Bluegrass Jamboree 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Harkness 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Nisha 4.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Bow Town Cat 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Ladies Day 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 China Rider 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Colorful Charades 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jerome S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Old Time Revival 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Smooth B 30.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Firenze Fire 0.60 2.1 4-1
2 2 Seven Trumpets 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Coltandmississippi 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Factor This 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Regalian 20.00 5 9-1
8 6 Glennwood 50.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Ucantcatchmybreath 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pequeno Grande 4.50 SCRATCH
16A 16 Purring On Empty 50.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Paganini 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Nolinski 3.50 2.6 5-1
11 10 Now a Factor 6.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Hokulea 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Iron Johnny 8.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Can’tweallgetalong 6.00 4.9 9-1
14 12 Banker’s Island 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Binkster 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Freudian Analyst 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 9 I’m Not Funny 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Simma Cum Laude 20.00 9.1 17-1
9A 8 Mr. Skittles 50.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Samaretto 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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