January 18, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Holland Park | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lonely Weekend | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roaming Union | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Power Boss | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Boy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoard | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bluegrass Prevails | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Global Positioning | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brimstone | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fratello Del Nord | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sol the Freud | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bigshotinthenews | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pegasus Red | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bay Ridge S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Might Be | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Riot Worthy | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Frost Wise | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Frosty Margarita | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Frostie Anne | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lady Vicki | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Split Time | 1.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Victoria Rose | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s My Catiecat | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starlite Mission | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anne’s Song | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Dreams | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Squeeze | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bluegrass Singer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | War Eagle’s Return | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 7 | Saratoga Heater | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Big Guy Ian | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | No Hiding Place | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Major League | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lenny | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bar None | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lyrical Miracle | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Revival | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Risk Management | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gio d’Oro | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anything Pazible | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lutheran Rags | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. President | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Powerstroke | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Legacy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Danny California | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carmine’s Honor | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Looking Ready | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flash Drive | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spectacular Kid | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lover’s Leap | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Honor | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nine Route | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Engineers Report | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Man Mo | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Highway | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Iron Power | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Becker’s Galaxy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taoiseach | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Danebury | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zabaione | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Charming Indy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chilly Bon Bon | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cody’s Notes | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Thicket | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Goals | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Platinum Nugget | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vicar’s Legend | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This Cat Can Fly | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cantakeitanymore | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | O Shea Can U See | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beach Access | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Debauchery | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Old Boy | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.