Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 18, 2018

January 18, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 April’sblackmagic 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 One K Queen 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Carencro Special 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Flaming Diva 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Shesanodoubtoprado 1.80 2.9 5-1
8 5 Dixie the Cat 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 A P’s Diana 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Yabbay 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Royal Force 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Just Glossy 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Dale’s Lil Sis 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Leave Em Counting 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Kylie’s Cutie 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Southern Wind 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Along Came Macey 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Gussie’s Girl 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cachito 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Custom Bling 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Combat Command 1.20 3.1 6-1
3 3 Half of Tip Tap 4.00 4 8-1
8 8 Elbert 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Stryker Man 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Posse On the Run 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Louisiana Wildcat 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bee Jay Gee 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Valiant City 4.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Philly 5.00 4 8-1
8 8 Chief Envoy 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Gunther 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Lucky Lotto 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 He’s a Super Jet 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Awesome J T 4.50 5.9 11-1
3 3 Rare 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Great Value 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Worthy 3.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Rebel Gentleman 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Mob Posse 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Greta 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Confederate Yell 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Wild Bandit 5.00 6 11-1
3 3 Mr Red Sensation 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Calmack 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Ravengaff 30.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 I’m a C Looker 10.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Copper Cajun 4.50 SCRATCH
2B 9 Core Portfolio 1.60 SCRATCH
5 6 Amerocko 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 3 Erik the Red 1.60 3.7 7-1
1A 4 D’urban Park 2.00 4 7-1
4 5 Forest Mist 3.50 4 8-1
1 1 Hero’s Divide 2.00 4.6 9-1
6 7 Kate’s Dancer 30.00 4.9 9-1
7 8 K One Kobra 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Drena’s Best 1.60 2 4-1
7 7 Better Data 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Flashy Trick 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Favorite Spot 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Make Change Indy 4.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Redding Well 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Out Late 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Te Na Na 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jade Star 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Southern Mister 1.50 SCRATCH
6 6 B Brazin 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ide Be Doc Adams 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Couche Couche 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Zendelphian 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Fancy This 20.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 One Survivor 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Five Star Nap 1.20 1.9 4-1
8 8 Linnie Laurine 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Sunny Sister 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Avery Lynn 4.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 I Hope 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Best Bling 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Careless Whisper 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Tsunami Girl 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Elody 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Vitt Bitt 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 She’s a Penalty 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 My Luv Monkey 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Swamp Production 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Dramatic Act 2.50 4.7 9-1
10 10 Palmettovowmenot 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Val’s Pal 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Ms Sprouted Gold 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Noisy 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Lil Miss Grey 30.00 6 11-1
5 5 Louisiana Lily 30.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.