January 18, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
April’sblackmagic |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
One K Queen |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Carencro Special |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Flaming Diva |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shesanodoubtoprado |
1.80 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
5 |
Dixie the Cat |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
A P’s Diana |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Yabbay |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Royal Force |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Just Glossy |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dale’s Lil Sis |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Leave Em Counting |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kylie’s Cutie |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Southern Wind |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Along Came Macey |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gussie’s Girl |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Cachito |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Custom Bling |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Combat Command |
1.20 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Half of Tip Tap |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Elbert |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stryker Man |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Posse On the Run |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Louisiana Wildcat |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bee Jay Gee |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Valiant City |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Philly |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chief Envoy |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gunther |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucky Lotto |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
He’s a Super Jet |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Awesome J T |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rare |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Great Value |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Worthy |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rebel Gentleman |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mob Posse |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Greta |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Confederate Yell |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wild Bandit |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mr Red Sensation |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Calmack |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ravengaff |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
I’m a C Looker |
10.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
2 |
Copper Cajun |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2B |
9 |
Core Portfolio |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
6 |
Amerocko |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
3 |
Erik the Red |
1.60 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1A |
4 |
D’urban Park |
2.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
5 |
Forest Mist |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hero’s Divide |
2.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
7 |
Kate’s Dancer |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
8 |
K One Kobra |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Drena’s Best |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Better Data |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flashy Trick |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Favorite Spot |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Make Change Indy |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Redding Well |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Out Late |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Te Na Na |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Jade Star |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Southern Mister |
1.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
B Brazin |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ide Be Doc Adams |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Couche Couche |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zendelphian |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fancy This |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
One Survivor |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Five Star Nap |
1.20 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Linnie Laurine |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sunny Sister |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Avery Lynn |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
I Hope |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Best Bling |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Careless Whisper |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tsunami Girl |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Elody |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Vitt Bitt |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
She’s a Penalty |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
My Luv Monkey |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Swamp Production |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dramatic Act |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Palmettovowmenot |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Val’s Pal |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ms Sprouted Gold |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Noisy |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lil Miss Grey |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Louisiana Lily |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.