January 21, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mickey T | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Merger of Banks | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Theresa’s Boy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heyitsnricopalazo | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Party | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Mason Factor | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Chant | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Skittles | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | R Lucky Charm | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leah’s Dream | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spinyatta | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Town Tart | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curiousncuriouser | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luna Rising | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mary Pray for Us | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Alex. M Robb S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Papa Shot | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Control Group | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wake Up in Malibu | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Can You Diggit | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Extinct Charm | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Testosterstone | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Girl Annie | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overtime Olivia | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spa Treatment | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pink Twist | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goldtown | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Impazible Creek | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magari | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Catenaria | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bogulator | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Total Control | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blue Watch | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aoife | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tanzania Road | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Punch | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Morning Buzz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Daddy D T | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Helooksthepart | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rockford | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Old Upstart | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Will Did It | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Getoffmyback | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Fleet Attitude | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Twister | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Tiz a Kitten | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Terralsole | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Classic Stones | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Sandy Belle | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Strawberry Tequila | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eighth Commandment | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nothingbutasmile | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cats Halo | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Puparee | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12A | 10 | Sugarille | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Satin Sheets | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iwishirish | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ribbonite | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ladies H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Frost | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Just Got Out | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bombshell | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sherini | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Girl Talk | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inconclusive | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Angel | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Causeway Cutie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lady Constance | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Marnesia Big Girl | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soxy Ruby | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dean’s Ticket | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blind Devotion | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wisdom of Oz | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Renegade | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kissin Cassie | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glotona Again | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.