January 21, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Daddy’s Memory | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Go Go Goose | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Meetmeforasmoke | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Suppose So | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Flashy Shoes | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Desert Image | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Angie’s Prim Lady | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Rainwalker | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | D J Soul Sista | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rebel Woman | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Louisianagentleman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Flatter the Queen | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mistake Present | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Shandy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tarpys Zapper | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roskilde | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | At Your Word | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Congratulate Me | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Half | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Starlet Guitar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Emelyn | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Special Blessing | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cool Spring | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blowin Your Mind | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Katiebmeister | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Blue Suade Guitar | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Half Time Allie | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Twilight Star | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Danny’s Turbo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Heartland Hit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Blue Choice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Restless Rambler | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Day Six | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | The Imposter | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | James and Company | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bold Star | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Smoothmoney | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Concho | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lookin for Eight | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Casses Story | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St. Louie Guy | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlins Vow | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Han Sense | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aces High | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Proud Reunion | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Five Hearts | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brooks House | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frozen Hannah | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Gracer | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star’s Bella Vita | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lola’s the One | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Social Doll | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wind Chill Factor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Efforting | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Delusional K K | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Juno’s Starlet | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bold Embrace | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Dreamy Art | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Catherine’s Dream | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Samurai | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lilbitofjam | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Nadia Anne | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Lucky Summer | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Always a Catch | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 14 | Tyler’s Wildcat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Conscious Decision | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wild About You | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 13 | Letthebigshot Roll | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Plug Catcher | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Thunderberg | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Svindahl | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Peej | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Ghurair | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Alvear | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | West Village | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Whiskey Biz | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Yeowzer | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classy Paddy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sinny Sin Sin | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bulletsandbourbon | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starfish Point | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Empress | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Byanymeans | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Top Ten | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Any Ole Thing | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss Endra | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.