January 25, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Smooth Colliery |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dark Genius |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Legendary Larry |
1.60 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
He’s an Honest Man |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Scarlettsblackjack |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Korbin’s Kopy |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magic Maniac |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cats Beauty |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mil Mil |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lefthoofrightleft |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ide Stang You |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zella Rose |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Red Fern Doll |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Twice Silver |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Musket’s Cup Cake |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Gentlemen’s Girl |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Smok’n Rita |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Star Guitarist |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Americas Choice |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
I’mwildaboutcarlos |
5.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Beanie’s Baby |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Peggys Ouest |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
2 |
Gabby’s Freedom |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Bubble Time |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Valid Influence |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
My Crusader Lady |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Sassy Mallory |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Taylor’s Beauty |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Angelic Kriss |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Watch My Steam |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiz the Time |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shakeitifuluvme |
4.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Madam’s Dancing |
30.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Estrella |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gibby’s Spot |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Oleta Inez |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Inalyze |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Halo’s Majesty |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Leah Camille |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Poker Fever Gal |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
No Se Tu |
12.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Becca’s Whisper |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
I’ll Show Y’all |
30.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
I Maid My Point |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Skylas Gold |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Freakonthelead |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Toss the Tub |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Runaway Ide |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Improviser |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Top Cat Bullet |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cajun Daddy |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Etbauer’s Ide |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wicked Proud |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Won Again |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sharp Clark |
12.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Jus Rad |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Love That Brown |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Joey B |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
First to Score |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Strahan |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bubba Ray’s Sun |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Holy Beau |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ellerbe |
3.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Evan Lee G |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Unbridled Passion |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jackson T. |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Clasifrontier |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
6 |
Mallory’s Bandit |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Wild Bert |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Half a Million |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Vastjesus |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1A |
7 |
Classic Greeley |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
A Song for Arch |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Chasin Gracie |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Rhettever |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Walking in Faith |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Fleet Halo |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Color Me Pretty |
1.80 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Avalo Magnificent |
2.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Maggie True |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Diablo Gris |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiz Gossip |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Silver Oaks |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shes a Texan |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ms Sassy Butclassy |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Artemis Talent |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
A Little Different |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Primetime Tiz |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Run Trickey Run |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ella’s Actor |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr Whiskers |
1.40 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Doubleshotofcrown |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cajun Dude |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Loottool |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Major Ranchero |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lil Gabe |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Whooz the King |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.