January 26, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Go | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fools Gold | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Flash | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cadeau de Paix | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ramblin’ Ma’am | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mad Dog Matters | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nominal Dollars | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Hayes | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swivel | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charming Indy | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marriage Fever | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cotton Town | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Just Got Out | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Felini | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Truth in the Lies | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flick of an Eye | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She’s So Fine | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smile Big | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Catch a Cab | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tammany Giant | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Auk | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salty Slew | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dooley | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | St. Patrick Frost | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crash Mountain | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fielding Gold | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Archie | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guick | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Orphan Miracle | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty Donnerstag | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilshire Star | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bunyaan | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Incubator | 1.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Pirate | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whyamisolucky | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s New Moon | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pragmatist | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reign Charger | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Lotta Wine | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Daring Prospect | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pray for Bourbon | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sand City | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lipstickonmycollar | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cairenn | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hay Field | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gehrig | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mineralogy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Missle Bomb | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Caretaker | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Incorporate | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quai Voltaire | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Side Tracks | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Buzz | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Check This Out | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.