January 27, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Explosive Colin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fooling Jay | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Brylee’s Deelite | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Old Pep N Step | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kiss the Moose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Whiskey Terms | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salute the Street | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Father George | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | A Little Different | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be the Light | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Tell Sarah | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Goodeagle | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Enchanting Embrace | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gallatin Girl | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fee Fi Fo Fo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cause You Can | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J J Queen | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Best Guess | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mimi’s Bella Alarm | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Labelhermypal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Cayman Dream | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bella Cajun | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She Sang Dixie | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Mella Bella | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kodiak Sky | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Turkish Delight | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yonna She Goes | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sky Low | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Thegrayspider | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cute Little Mess | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | M. B.’s Kiss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Glitter O’Prado | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Jeni Lynn’s Pet | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Road Show | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tee Shaw | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hannah Bell | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scottish Bu | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doc’s Rocket | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dixieland Flash | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Silky Stone | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Risque | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | D’wildsummersfun | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Toast to Don | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Theboyzgrand Kis | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fireman Isaac Max | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bucky Boy | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | That’s the Truth | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dewey’s Sunshine | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Hero | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Bird | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer’s Due | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Montbrooks Miracle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | He’s a Super Jet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Shaboxxo | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Quiet Seduction | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Erik the Red | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bob’s Gone Wild | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Peonari | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Charlie Ballado | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | K One Kobra | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Castlederg | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tumult | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | City Gone Country | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Silent Smoke | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lady Castiglione | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Bode’s Choice | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Alva | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Leighton Kentucky | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Beckhem’s Beauty | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sally’s Hat | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Wildcat Beauty | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Daylight Deelite | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Power Walker | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fire Blaster | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Cap Rock Miner | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Set Hut | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Itsthebourbontalkn | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Blame Dexter | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Drewmisterio | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Drakarys | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flawless Forecast | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Greeley’s Dealer | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Made Me Shiver | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Zip | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Liz | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rwanda | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eight Grand | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Take It All | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Sweet Sydni | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Atdabarwithmerrill | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bet On Black | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Big Joe | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chat Rat | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sailorman | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pummy | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Off On Holiday | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Storming by Yawl | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artist by the Sea | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Error Code | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hermano Pilon | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crissy Tenpins | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Labruna | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mylie Idel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wanna Snuggle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Dixie Valentine | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Kilasa | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Clever Miss | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Crescent Lace | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Abbie’s Parade | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Baby B Gone | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Sword of Dixie | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.