Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 1, 2018

February 1, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 She’s a Penalty 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Good Call 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Syrup Cake 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Mt. Rain 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ms Sprouted Gold 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Fantasy Frills 30.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Bubbas Lucky Spell 5.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Hay Viene Navidad 6.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Sea Strollin 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Swamp Production 30.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Lil Miss Grey 30.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Kowboy’s Secret 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Point At Z Baby 2.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Wave Goodbye 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Branchwater 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Crickadee 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Toe Tappin Fast 10.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Greeley’s Doll 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Sister’s Image 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Threepeat 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Adieu My Baby 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 L L L College Fund 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sarahs Lucky Charm 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Blazing Sensation 3.00 SCRATCH
7 3 Tortuga Rio 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 1 Goodrockingirl 5.00 3 6-1
9 5 Simply Imagine 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 4 Scarlet’s Causeway 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 2 Star Countess 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Ganges 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Rey Zarbyev 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Lucky Lotto 1.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Chief Envoy 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Ben’s Magic Stone 5.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Customized 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Ethan’s Landing 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Great Value 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Cajun Kitten 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Man of Bethel 15.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Green Paint 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Hesaluckycat 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 My Pepper Ann 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Better Data 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Flashy Trick 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Make Change Indy 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Drena’s Best 2.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Out Late 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Honest Smile 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Favorite Spot 15.00 6 11-1
10 9 Te Na Na 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Bo Bo Bridge 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Leavethetip 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Elitch 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Politicallycorrect 15.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Hook 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 1 Candy My Boy 3.50 2.9 6-1
9 7 Imindycatbirdseat 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 2 Cuco Trejo 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 3 Tickatee Tickatay 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 5 Sierra Victor 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 4 Too Much Gone 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 6 Mr. Bandini’s Band 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 E Porto 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Aubrey’s Mission 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Valid Prospector 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Eagle Rising 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Louisiana Lion 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Brie Brie’s Joy 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Bayou Banjo 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Donttakeitpersonal 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Lord Redding 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Lucame 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Love That Brown 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Jus Rad 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Social Misfit 1.50 SCRATCH
1A 5 Reckless Ransom 1.50 3 6-1
5 4 One Survivor 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Flit N Time 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Zendelphian 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Randy Paul 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Pocketball 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 King’s Share 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 2 Dr. Zipcity 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 Actif One 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Tough Landing 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Flashy Attitude 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Greta 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Yes Babe 10.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Honest Scarlet 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Dramatic Act 3.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 My Luv Monkey 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Val’s Pal 3.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Blushing Reality 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Ice Party 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Stellar Magic 20.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Theboyzgalaxy 12.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 T’s Hope 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Runaway Romance 1.80 SCRATCH
10 9 Color Me Ready 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Deep End 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Spectacular Strike 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Yabbay 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Dixie the Cat 5.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Anydayoftheweek 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Straight 30.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 K P Anna 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Sophie’s Illusion 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.