February 1, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
She’s a Penalty |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Good Call |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Syrup Cake |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mt. Rain |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ms Sprouted Gold |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fantasy Frills |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bubbas Lucky Spell |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hay Viene Navidad |
6.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sea Strollin |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Swamp Production |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lil Miss Grey |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kowboy’s Secret |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Point At Z Baby |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wave Goodbye |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Branchwater |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Crickadee |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Toe Tappin Fast |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Greeley’s Doll |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sister’s Image |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Threepeat |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Adieu My Baby |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
L L L College Fund |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Sarahs Lucky Charm |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Blazing Sensation |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
3 |
Tortuga Rio |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
1 |
Goodrockingirl |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
5 |
Simply Imagine |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
4 |
Scarlet’s Causeway |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
2 |
Star Countess |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Ganges |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Rey Zarbyev |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Lotto |
1.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chief Envoy |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ben’s Magic Stone |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Customized |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ethan’s Landing |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Great Value |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cajun Kitten |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Man of Bethel |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Green Paint |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hesaluckycat |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
My Pepper Ann |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Better Data |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flashy Trick |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Make Change Indy |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Drena’s Best |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Out Late |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Honest Smile |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Favorite Spot |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Te Na Na |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bo Bo Bridge |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Leavethetip |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Elitch |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Politicallycorrect |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
8 |
Hook |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Candy My Boy |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Imindycatbirdseat |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
2 |
Cuco Trejo |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
3 |
Tickatee Tickatay |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
5 |
Sierra Victor |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
4 |
Too Much Gone |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
6 |
Mr. Bandini’s Band |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
E Porto |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Aubrey’s Mission |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Valid Prospector |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Eagle Rising |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Louisiana Lion |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Brie Brie’s Joy |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bayou Banjo |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Donttakeitpersonal |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Lord Redding |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lucame |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Love That Brown |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jus Rad |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
3 |
Social Misfit |
1.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
5 |
Reckless Ransom |
1.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
One Survivor |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flit N Time |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Zendelphian |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Randy Paul |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pocketball |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
King’s Share |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
2 |
Dr. Zipcity |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
1 |
Actif One |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Tough Landing |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Flashy Attitude |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Greta |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yes Babe |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Honest Scarlet |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dramatic Act |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Luv Monkey |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Val’s Pal |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blushing Reality |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ice Party |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stellar Magic |
20.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Theboyzgalaxy |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
T’s Hope |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Runaway Romance |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
9 |
Color Me Ready |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Deep End |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spectacular Strike |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yabbay |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dixie the Cat |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Anydayoftheweek |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Straight |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
7 |
K P Anna |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sophie’s Illusion |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.