February 2, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Woundwithhereyes | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 6 | Desert Affair | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Three Eighty Eight | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Thirtydaysinjune | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Fond | 0.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Paula’s Pistol | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Rullah | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fashiononthesurge | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Jo | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burkey’s Babe | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spiral Bound | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celtic Serenade | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiffany’s Vision | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Low Is Laine | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Promise | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tiznoble | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Buzz | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Praetereo | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Combat Controller | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Battle Midway | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Polarization | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karen’s Gem | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cocktail Countess | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solitary Gem | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Mahvelous Marie | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Kiss | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gia Michael | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Beyondelle | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Iron Power | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Marriage Fever | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nominal Dollars | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Motown Sound | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Open Bar | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Down One to Go | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bar None | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lyrical Miracle | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bigshotinthenews | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Caribbean | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | California Swing | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Borsa Vento | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Rider | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alaapatique | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Distorted Admiral | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pioneer Spirit | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Securitiz | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harlan Punch | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Class | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Field of Courage | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fox Rules | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Banker’s Island | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Lake Party | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Platinum Nugget | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Binkster | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beach Access | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr. Skittles | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Can’tweallgetalong | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Andronikos | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mickey T | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.