February 3, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Callmeonmycellfone | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Foxy Miss | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | A Thousand Tears | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Good and Sizzlin | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Foolish Girl | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gunna Get Even | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Crimson Feline | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Mine Yours an Ours | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Jackie Ems Pal | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Open Interest | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Grand Tuner | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Suppose So | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Aunt Lois | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Diva’s Ransom | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | World Peace | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honey Bunny | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tough Kicks | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Off Cycle | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shaboom | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run to Glory | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mi Fiori | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lu Sea | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shaker Baker | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz de Lovely | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Miss Devine | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kat Can | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Baby Got Shack | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Booneville Chapel | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swift Krystal | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marida | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Silver Soiree | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Malibu Royalty | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Tapany | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sohni | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pearl of the Nile | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Soul Singer | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Makada | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Little Patriot | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Cape Time | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zenucci | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maddy’s Pro | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Cake | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Masterly | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Mischief | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Andy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jonas G. | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Specialeyes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Deep Explorer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Esposito | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Silent Drifter | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Get a Valentine | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Vittorioso | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Diamondmaze | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Crawford | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bernin Midnight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Actress On Board | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lesley May | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Oats | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior’s Way | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catkins | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | And Isles | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kalliste Rose | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Trappezoid | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Magicalmeister | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Sky Promise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Zanesville | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Dubby Dubbie | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Potential Danger | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Shared Value | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | G’s Turn | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Shadow Sphinx | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Brangelina | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Clevius | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Casino Beach | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pinky Promise | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Till Two | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Abboccato | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Fitzgerald | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jane Ran a Double | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rowdy N Pearls | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fiftyshadesofnay | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skin Deep | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run By | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.