February 4, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Lady Suebee | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Oozle | 0.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sara Street | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Problem Solving | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra Aleone | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Glory | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Thicket | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dig That Mine | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin Jo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cain Is Abel | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Lilies | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Delights | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Engineers Report | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. President | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lutheran Rags | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hokulea | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Did It | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knockin Em Back | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Z J Wins | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Toohottoevenspeak | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Delta Outlaw | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peculiar Sensation | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenyan | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caniform | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nut Nut | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Union | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Martini Momma | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Simona | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Forever Dreams | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lune Lake | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Classy Cara | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gentle Annie | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiz Anna Rae | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Nanny | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | City Traveler | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dynamax Prime | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Special Story | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pretentious | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ode to the Hunt | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy’s Home | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Regere | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sandy Strikes | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Third Son | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blewitt | 0.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Guick | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dublinthepleasure | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holy Week | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Lou Pal | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alexander David | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Orphan Miracle | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New York Boy | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tusk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lasting Legacy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Gift Box | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flash Trading | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | T R Crew | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Carradine | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Undulated | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Javelin | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ransom Note | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Casigordo | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Source Control | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Miss My Father | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Independent Worker | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gun for Hire | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tottie Royer | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.