February 7, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Crude Operator |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Victory Shout |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Start a War |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Pressing Luck |
1.60 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Walker the Wiz |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
On Time |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Gotta Go First |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Kid Crimson |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Cool Production |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
North Hullen |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Youve Got a Friend |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Deadly Truth |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1A |
7 |
Fiftyshadesofbay |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Flit N Flot |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ide Be Doc Adams |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Successful Story |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tee Brown |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rey Zarbyev |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Indulgences |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
R. V.’s Express |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Can’t Stop Kohen |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Courtney’s Gift |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mauk Power |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Da Swampking |
30.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Wrongroadagain |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Slew’s Shot |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Secrets of Summer |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Etoile d’Allie |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dixie Jackpot |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tizmyday |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Classy and Rich |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miso Smooth |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Third Strike |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wild Lil Rebel |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Little Lola |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Septennial |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
All About Diva |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Wicked Proud |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Smoking Romance |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bear’s Big Boy |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rippin Ride |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bitsy’s Half |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Top Cat’s Best Bet |
10.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Risky Forest |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tumult |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
River Pride |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cayenne |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Tapster |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Rebel Gentleman |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Shambolic |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Arch Madness |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Red Kingdom Star |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Freeontechnicality |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Love Alley |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Lanies Choice |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Strahan |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Debriyn |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coffee Cup |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
First to Score |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spotsback |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bubba Ray’s Sun |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Campus Leader |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Unbridled Passion |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zartan |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Overthegardengate |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Giagiajoe |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Event of Default |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Half a Million |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bling It On Baby |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fiji D |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fiddlers Tsunami |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Social Doll |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ease On West |
15.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Frolic |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Half Way Up |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
New Orleans Spice |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Theyankeefuse |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
D’wild Muffin |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Just Kicking Back |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Why Me’s Legacy |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Gabby’s Freedom |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Its All for Gene |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Miss Rippinlips |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Cool Deal |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Our Jo |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
My Pal Em |
4.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Whisper Inthe Wind |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Between the Arches |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
This Aint Dallas |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Misty Reality |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
4 |
A Special Faith |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
4 |
3 |
Lady Myla |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.