February 8, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ouro Verde | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buy for Less | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Matinee Babe | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mama’s Red Hat | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New York Event | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You Promise | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Irst | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Team | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shoot the Gap | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classi Cat | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Papi | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Da Meister | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clonedsimmard | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kelsocait | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nisha | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sounds Delicious | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Littlefirefighter | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Inheritance | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jeter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Eddie’s Gift | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Summer Bourbon | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Love That Jazz | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | For Pops | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chosen One Elijah | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Littlemissbusiness | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Wildcat Belle | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clairvoyant Lady | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daring Prospect | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Puparee | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Da Wildcat Girl | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Glennwood | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Polar Outbreak | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Regalian | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Davka | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Factor This | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Setter | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Infield Is In | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Biogio’s Rose S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Decorator Jenn | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Disguise | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Literata | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Wise | 1.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Hayne No Gayne | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carry Your Heels | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Road to Perfection | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Over My Head | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | For Honor | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Risk | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B Three | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peaches and Spice | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Preziosa | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.