February 8, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Play That Song |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Pleasure and Glory |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Z U Again |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
D’wild Irish Rose |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
7 |
Queen’s All Mine |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Blame Free |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Sashay Gal |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Gabby’s Freedom |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Movie Date |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
My Silver Oaks |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Putsumdirtonit |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
8 |
Avalo Magnificent |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Maggie True |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hot Wired |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiz Gossip |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golden Bombshell |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sittin On Cotton |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bella Noche |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shes a Texan |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Color Me Ready |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Carencro Special |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
One K Queen |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
We Girls Rule |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Swift Lisa |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
T’s Hope |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Red Hot Sensation |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Hand Me the Cash |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Bubble Time |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Tiz the Time |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
7 |
Diamond Thief |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
8 |
Breezy Song |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Powder River Doll |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
In Franca’s Honor |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gibby’s Spot |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
C R Fast Nitelite |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Valid Influence |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Silver Lode |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gratzie |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dream Dream |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gussie’s Girl |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gg’s Gracefulgabby |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wandernintheforest |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jonesboro Polly |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Taking Tips |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flashy Kitty |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wrap It Up |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Mr Equilizer |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Theycalledhimbig |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Joey B |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hustle N Jive |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Charlie’s Affair |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Clancy’s Pepper |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
10 |
Town Devil |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Camp Sawyer |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Will Burn Tails |
8.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Peerage |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sin Llorar |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
T. Jay’s Holiday |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Super Stroke |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Boogie Miester |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jake Jourdan |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cactus Son |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Adieu Gerald |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Real Gone Cat |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fast Time Streaker |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Friend Tag |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cook Some Rice |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Legendary Larry |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Titanium Bill |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mediamaker |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
It’s a Sweet One |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Machinist |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shoe’s to Remember |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Noah Knows |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Little Red Kid |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Boy Dave Rex |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flashy Image |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
No Game for Sissys |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tor Con Six |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wild Bert |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Adios Yankee |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lass Song |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Risky Steps |
4.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hot Rod |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Don’t Tell Sarah |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Explosive Colin |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Colonial Power |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Reydell |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
A Little Different |
12.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ella’s Actor |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Niagara Storm |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
I Promised Youhuff |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Theboyzspark |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Savannah Dandy |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Relentless Attack |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ride the Breeze |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.