February 9, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Salute My Lady |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
A Great Vice |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kiss My Bling |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jeni Lynn’s Pet |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Scottish Bu |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Taylor’s Beauty |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
In Full Swing |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hannah Bell |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Silky Stone |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dixieland Flash |
15.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tee Shaw |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Midge’s Magic |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Striscetta |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pep N Flight |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Skeeter |
2.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Betty the Babe |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ide Be Dyana |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Word of the Day |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rulersshinyfuture |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Skipadee Due Da |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Frances |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Good Moody Blues |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Victory Bind |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Potlatch |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
A Flash of Copper |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Maga Man |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Binding |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
A Place Remembered |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scarlettsblackjack |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Lord Colliery |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hezanothercorredor |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Saved At Sea |
1.80 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Drewmisterio |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Archer One |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Starook |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flawless Forecast |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gary |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Halo Redding |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Menewa |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Judge Dixon |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Run Bayou |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Bold Bulldog |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Drama Box |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
He’s an Honest Man |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Potomac Two Step |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
5 |
Holy Flash |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
7 |
Robert’s Prince |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Captinsdivinepick |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
6 |
Brush Whacker |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jr’s Sauvage |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Delightful Dancer |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Now Mind You |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
11 |
8 |
Korbin’s Kopy |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cajun Star |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Cody Cody |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Like a Cowboy |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
7 |
North Light Ridge |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
At Your Word |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sports Book |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr. Graceful |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Runnin Sky |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Orthodox River |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
8 |
Another Two Ex |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Ide Be a Miracle |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Wolf’s Song |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Pioneer’s Era |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Revenueneutral |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Amberjack Rey |
1.60 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Arlen’s Prospect |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
State Treasurer |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Saved by Zero |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Run Peck Run |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Andy’s Production |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Speedy Thief |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Successful Ryker |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Aubrey’s Mission |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Tiz Commander |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Whoajoey |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Hunsa’s Magic |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Adios a Todos |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Smooth Gallop |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Muddy Bayou |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Sholtz |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
5 |
V Double U |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
3 |
Toast to Michael |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
8 |
Sweet Richter |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Cajun Bandit |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Sheer Mayhem |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Red Wined Up |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Louisiana Moon |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Myblendofwhisky |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bushido Samurai |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chuck’s Quest |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bandit for Time |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Run Bayou Bird |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Costa Sugar |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
She’s a Penalty |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Tamy’s Shot |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Take Over |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ardesia |
2.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tough Landing |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Palmettovowmenot |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mischievous Belle |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nola’s Fireball |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Silver |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Line Running Lass |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Gal Sarah |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Promise Me Sleep |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Felonious Friend |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Alecia’slittleboy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Level Temper |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Red Nick Carl |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Man Behind the Bar |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
8 |
Old Pep N Step |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Luck Dynasty |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Successful Shot |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Respect Due |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Mr Bin |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Fooling Jay |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.