February 14, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Go Ante | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jewels of Sorce | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Song of Dixie | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Go Selma T | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Kylie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Strollin | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Viene Navidad | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Illustrious Cat | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Figure | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Arwen | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mine Mine | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play the Field | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Top Money | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calimor | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Autumn Flirt | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Patriot Father | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fleet Halo | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | County Coroner | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Wise Cat | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Straight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | I’mwildaboutcarlos | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kaleigh’s Dream | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gentlemen’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spectacular Strike | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cat’s Prayer | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Slippers | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vidrine’s Choice | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blushing Hannah | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | K One Comet | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frontier Hero | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Fort Stevens | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Appoint Me King | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Aubrey’s Mission | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Silver Pins | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brown’s Monkey | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baires Boy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oath of Office | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rooster J | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clasifrontier | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Have No Que | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Huntur | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baron’s Rebellion | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Light Her Up | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Production | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zaplicious | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mariah’s Galaxy | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Song | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maline | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toodaloo to You | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dyso | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | First Class Misty | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Too Bad Chu | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sharp Clark | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Improviser | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cheers to Berti | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Red Cat | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carmens Catcher | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Philly | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smoothforthemoney | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Do Guess Again | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dry Wood Creek | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yankee Hunter | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Daddy | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hours to Shine | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Run Like Elle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Forest Mist | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bob’s Gone Wild | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jubal | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glory Kingdom | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dakota Candy | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charlie Ballado | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kiss Him Twice | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Castlederg | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Rise Up | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Great Minds | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Whence | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Pray You Catch Me | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wings Locked Up | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2B | 8 | Mocito Rojo | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kenai Star | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Midnight Ruler | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Bellarmine | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Plot Twist | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fonda Carlos | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Road Show | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Notional Star | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Toons | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fantasy Queen | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ginger Tee | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Force | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Z Bonita | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Missbudlitetime | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Yankee Express | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Exton | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hot Ten | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | That’s D ‘cat | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Its a City Day | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Don | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Formeredith | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Donna’s Court | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seaside Sergeant | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dacajo | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cole’s Private Vow | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proper Romance | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.