February 16, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | K Street | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Beltway | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Halifax | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Im an American Man | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hard Attack | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Zens Secret | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Loaded Dynamite | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clearedfor Takeoff | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beau Rouge | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oh Dear Lord | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Untethered Soul | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vinton’s Vin Geaux | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Band | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shezjuslikeannie | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Musket Man’s Broad | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Theyankeefuse | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Anything But Amie | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Honest Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bulletsandbourbon | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Honest Smile | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sinny Sin Sin | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Redding Well | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crissy Tenpins | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thegrayspider | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alys Grand | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Te Na Na | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Hospitality | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One King’s Rose | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Miss Lucky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Miss Moronette | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Northern Connect | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Su Elegancia | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Reina Isabel | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Facets of Ice | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Electric Kiss | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wrap It Up | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alibrooke | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Hope | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tsunami Girl | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Taken Back | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Delicious | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Monsieur Brown | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Combat Command | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Simba’s Pride | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Z U Soon | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musial | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flat Out Love | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chaosmos | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Color Me Pretty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Rockin Royalty | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ojos Corazon | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pearl of Laredo | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky for Us | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crescent Lace | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hunky Dory | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Copper Lady | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Mamma | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cheer Monkey | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hawaiian Appeal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Gueydan | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A We Bit Flirty | 1.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chat Rat | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Smitty | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jade Star | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pinch Assault | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boogie Miester | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Run With Class | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Players Gonna Play | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Sure Shot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ruston Vow | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shareholder Value | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Etruscan | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pilot House | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Town | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elitch | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drakarys | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Artsy Hearts | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Saffron Spirit | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lonely Petunia | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queenardini | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Moreta | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tap Dance Star | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Colm’s Lady | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Costa Del Sol | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Trick | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beckhem’s Beauty | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Dove | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gingermore | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kondo Queen | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zarba’s Charm | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Day O | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thegoodwitch | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Mimosas | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summers Back | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Half of Tip Tap | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | I Believe in Us | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Custom Bling | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sobriquiet | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yankee Express | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gifted Richter | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Definitely Spring | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kiss Your Bride | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | He’s an Honest Man | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In Charge Halo | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | They’ll Seeintime | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Wildcat | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.