February 23, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Classy Brynn |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
8 |
Becca’s Whisper |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
4 |
Drama Specialist |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Make Change Indy |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Sha Blush |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Out Late |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Leah Camille |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Flash Copy |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
I Maid My Point |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Solar Effect |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Exigent |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
It’s a Sweet One |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Texas Tussel |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Keep the Commish |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tee’s Black Irish |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boogie Toogie |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Miss Uruguay |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Brahms Baby |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
She Sang Dixie |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stella’s Honor |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
D’wild Baroness |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Intensified |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Remembrance Rose |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Majino |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
High Tech Jewel |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Billie K |
10.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kehron’s Creed |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kohensrising |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
State Treasurer |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Attraction |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Top Player |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Saratoga Mischief |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aztec Delite |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Run Peck Run |
3.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wolf’s Song |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Red Kingdom Star |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saved by Zero |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Stormy Invasion |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Archer One |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
McGinty |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
V Double U |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Starook |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Hustle N Jive |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dewey’s Sunshine |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fireman Isaac Max |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bet On Black |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Theboyzgrand Kis |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Joe |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Andy Man |
4.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Secret Hero |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lucame |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Camp Sawyer |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Tobit |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Big Red Cat |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Westbound Express |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Won Again |
5.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Top Cat Bullet |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Runaway Ide |
3.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
No Guts No Glory |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Improviser |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Charming Afleet |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Etbauer’s Ide |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gray Ransom |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Green Paint |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Star Anne |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jalen Hurts |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cajun Creed |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maga Man |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Titanium Bill |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Little Red Kid |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Double Down Bob |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stryker Man |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flashy Image |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Two Steppin’ Star |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Mitchnjohnny |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Danny’s Turbo |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Razorback Red |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jobay |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bitsy’s Half |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Retrofit |
6.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dixie Beat |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Train Walk |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rate Maker |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sparky Sparkles |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stick |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Calling Panther |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
She’screative |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
9 |
Brave Daisey |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Tied Up |
2.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
Oxford Comma |
1.80 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1A |
6 |
Eye Craft |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Artsy Hearts |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Ms Sassy Butclassy |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
4 |
Girls Life |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Empressive Road |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Ty’s Bandit |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Sinister Spinner |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Pioneering Native |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Kapenta |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Super Stroke |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Friend Tag |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Real Gone Cat |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
C R Knight |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zarking |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crider Cash |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cody Cody |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fast Time Streaker |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Stormy Crossing |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Bermuda Bridge |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
Honor and Riches |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blame Free |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
D D’s Delight |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Keen Move |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Movie Date |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gabby’s Freedom |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
U S Liberty |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
A Special Faith |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.