March 4, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Awesomendensome |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hug a Tree |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grayciez Spirit |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cordele |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Aussie Prayer |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sum Roar |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Greatness |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Wave On Wave |
1.40 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
As It Happens |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chief White Sox |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
High Mischief |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Half Grey |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Private Bellamy |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Revenge Is Now |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dixielicious |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Elevenses |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Luzmimi Princess |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Miss Katie Bug |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Midnight Soiree |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Onebrethatatime |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Timber Ghost |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Almithmaar |
2.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cavaradossi |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
New Legend (KOR) |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Show Me the Bucks |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Final Frontier |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tenkoz |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bonus Card |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gran Network |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cape Marco Drive |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Steve’s Sonata |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dazzling Prose |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gran Red |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ovetchkin Jagr |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Crazy Frank C |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Enders Cat |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Son Wind |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Top of the Page |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Strong Composition |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sanfilipo |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Forest Gator |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cantaclaro |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Oroscopo |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Be Gone Daddy |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sierra Aleone |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Joe’s Smokin Gun |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
And Still |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Happy Hat |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nepthene |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mominou |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Surf Shack |
1.40 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Family Justice |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Another Softball |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dino Dude |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zaptuit |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Smarter |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kierland |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stun |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zeppelin Ride |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
G T’s Graemie |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Coyote Quick Step |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Sailor’s Valentine |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nikki Bella |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Run and Go |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Luz Mimi |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Country |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Linda Mimi |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Day by Day |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Scatnap |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Beautyofaday |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Glorious Moment |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Starship Hostility |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Flying Girl |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gran Chama |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Roll It Gal |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Break Away |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
Motion’s First |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Dreaming of Aca |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Roars More |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Wage Acceleration |
1.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Golden Decision |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Wannabeaplayer |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Cosmic Thunder |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Escape Velocity |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
1 |
Waldi |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Milo Diamond |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Biblical |
1.40 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tip Sheet |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Time On Target |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Regal Quality |
1.60 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bandito |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coop Tries Harder |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Millionaire Runner |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Paint the Corners |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Conquest Dynasty |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
August Lilly |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fearless Princess |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Voila La Victoire (IRE) |
3.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vinyardnina |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Biamonte |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hidden to Win |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ariel’s Flyer |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Missworldvenezuela |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.