Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 15, 2018

April 15, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Interlaken 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Octoberfest 5.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Allthewrongreasons 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Yankton 3.50 2.9 5-1
7 6 Rucksack 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Terrible Day (ARG) 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Take the Count 4.00 4 8-1
2 1 Esperanzadelcompa 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kiwi Cat 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Jenna J 5.00 SCRATCH
6 5 About That Base 5.00 2.9 6-1
7 6 Iron Lilly 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Funny Holiday 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 4 Princess Lu Lu 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Mizzen Air 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Ashleys Magens Bay 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Skeptic 3.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Thread the Needle 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Tequila Sunrise 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Agreeable 4.00 5 10-1
6 6 Evening Tide 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Mizzen Colony 30.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Actress On Board 4.50 6.1 11-1
2 2 Ghosted 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Go Metro Girl 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 High Fashion Star 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Southerngirlsrock 30.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Money Purse 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 6 Cape Time 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Eternal Vow 3.50 4.9 9-1
2 2 On the Come 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 4 Global Warm Me 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 5 L. A. Way 10.00 5.6 11-1
10 8 Bel Canto 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 9 Boomerang Baby 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 3 American Alphabet 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Hieroglyphics 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Tweet Kitten 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Profiteer 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 King and His Court 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Zulu Alpha 6.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Vettori Kin (BRZ) 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 5 Final Copy 8.00 2.6 5-1
10 6 Jess I Am 10.00 3.6 7-1
5 2 Team Colors 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 3 Italian Charm 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Giant Payday 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Santino 8.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Krissys Manicure 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 8 Katie’s Reward 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Line Drive 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Mo Flash 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Shared Silence 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 So Aristocratic 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 My Dark Secret 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Waki Patriot 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Phantom Opening 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tizahandful 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 San Sebastiana (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ellens Birthday 50.00 SCRATCH
10A 10 So Charming 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Altered Mind 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Must Be Dreaming 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Evasive Storm 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pistol Packin Rose 5.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Summer Luck 3.00 2.6 5-1
16A 7 Mzima Springs 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Mischievous Champ 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 5 Red Dane (ITY) 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 4 Dreamadreamforme 20.00 5 9-1
15 6 Leeloo’s Journey 50.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Trivial 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Recruiting Ready 2.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Yorkton 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Eight Town 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Heartwood 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Dan the Go to Man 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Harmac 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Vici 8.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Catholic Cowboy 5.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Line Judge 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 7 Shareholder Value 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 8 Hollywood Critic 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ironclad 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Hardly a Secret 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Gorgeous Bird 6.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Catinati 30.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Red Again 12.00 6.2 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.