April 22, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mo Knows | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Inflexibility | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | In the Lee | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flipcup | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Silence (FR) | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Aubrey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cartwheel | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pursuing Justice | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silveratta Road | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zecha | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Darlablue | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anne’s Song | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hard Way Winner | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Setter | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indian Ghost | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Controlled Fury | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buss the Bell | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Panama Ed | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backstretch George | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stan the Man | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Proletariat | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Son of Mine | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Front | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go Big Or Go Home | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Have Another | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Appealing Henry | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Proper Freud | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major League | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Hiding Place | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Road | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Archie | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Adventist | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Casigordo | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Callant | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chosen One Elijah | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Speke | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Phone Funky Munky | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Way Early | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morrison | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Thicket | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Year of the Kitten | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Analyze Your Luck | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rockin Jo | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Engineers Report | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | A True Giant | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Giant Boo Boo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Retonova | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Belleville Spring | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Aqua Bel Sar | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Santo Antonio | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spectacular Kid | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Memories Of Silver S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Layla Noor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Significant Form | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Zap | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coffee Crush | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Sting | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wealth Effect | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bust Another | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Long Haul Bay | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tribecca | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Belt | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mighty Zealous | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Macho | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Bourbon | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Global Positioning | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love That Jazz | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sal the Turtle | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | For Pops | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Too Much Data | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Throw the Fade | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Overnight Success | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indifference | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Metaphorical | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Showcase Mall | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hangman | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sparky | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Garsoon | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.