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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 22, 2018

April 22, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mo Knows 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Inflexibility 1.60 1.8 3-1
4 3 In the Lee 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Flipcup 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Blessed Silence (FR) 2.50 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Take Charge Aubrey 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Cartwheel 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Pursuing Justice 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Dancingwthdaffodls 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Silveratta Road 3.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Zecha 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Darlablue 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Anne’s Song 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hard Way Winner 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Diamond Setter 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Indian Ghost 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Controlled Fury 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Buss the Bell 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Panama Ed 4.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Backstretch George 12.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stan the Man 1.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Proletariat 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Son of Mine 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 More Front 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Go Big Or Go Home 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Have Another 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Appealing Henry 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Proper Freud 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Major League 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 No Hiding Place 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 American Road 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Archie 4.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Adventist 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Casigordo 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Callant 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Chosen One Elijah 50.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Speke 1.20 SCRATCH
6 6 Phone Funky Munky 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Way Early 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Morrison 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Big Thicket 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Year of the Kitten 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Analyze Your Luck 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 7 Rockin Jo 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Engineers Report 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 A True Giant 1.20 SCRATCH
1 1 Giant Boo Boo 20.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Retonova 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Belleville Spring 8.00 3 6-1
6 4 Aqua Bel Sar 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Santo Antonio 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 3 Spectacular Kid 20.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Memories Of Silver S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Layla Noor 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Significant Form 1.20 1.8 3-1
3 3 Oh Zap 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Coffee Crush 3.50 3.4 7-1
6 5 Sweet Sting 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Wealth Effect 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bust Another 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Long Haul Bay 2.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Tribecca 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Blue Belt 4.50 4.8 9-1
11 10 Mighty Zealous 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Wicked Macho 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Summer Bourbon 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Global Positioning 30.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Love That Jazz 30.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Sal the Turtle 10.00 7 13-1
6 6 For Pops 30.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Too Much Data 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Throw the Fade 3.50 3 6-1
9 9 Overnight Success 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Indifference 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Metaphorical 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Showcase Mall 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Hangman 4.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Sparky 15.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Garsoon 20.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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