May 2, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ms Agouti Dash | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tissie Fast Dash | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jrs Runaway Wings | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Oak | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Toast | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magical World | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Im a Jezabel | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leblancs Charger | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rnr Kas Papa Said So | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ttt Black Pearl | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rl Coronas Tee | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ja Jess Flyin Free | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kbr Ground Pounder | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Splendida Perla | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Special Anchine | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jb Smokey Wagon | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Manitas | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Black Ice | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway My Vegas | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Da Boss Hoss | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Plum Agouti | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Toasty Lady | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sc Milo | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eyes On Brant | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nl Roll N Toast | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jrs Arunawayeffort | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr Jess Huckleberry | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Stem | 1.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | This Babe Zooms | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mas Gus Olena | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Igottagiterdone | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whatafastdashinggirl | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Special Jewel | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fire in Hollywood | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fixin Too | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Boy Agouti | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lennys Cashandchrome | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Desert Streak | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rio Rojo Cosino | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Lil Justin | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Streakin Holland | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Belindas Bikini | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ap Shine On Me | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Clutch Corona | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Jetz a Streakin | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tf Hez Jess Rowdy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fast Prize Patriot | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Phils Streakin Oak | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jump N Myjoyride | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kute N Kwik | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ttt Kas I Said Go | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | First Down Peach | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Coronas Going by You | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Debbie D | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | This Games Special | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tdz Jes a Dynasty | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sotus | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bb Invictus | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Somebodys Last Lover | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ph Sherman | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fastdown | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Absolute Shot | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Damthaluck | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royals Init for Love | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Jumpn Streak | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trippin Vision | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jf First Patriot | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My First Rodeo | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adios Amigas | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Angiesprizedpatriot | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Piloto Habit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Rf Shez Leaving You | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | All Blinged Up | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Fast Southern Prize | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tee Magica | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Miraculous Miranda | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jet Like Bernardo | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Eyewantbux | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Nick Saban | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Yippie Five Cartel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Jp First Lady | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Olivias Patriot | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Jetsa Queen | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jls Rebs Party | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rio Rojo Sizzler | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Stripitdown | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Angels | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mya Patriot | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pilotos Toy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.