May 4, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Triple My Vodka | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Off the Wall Thrill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Dukes First Prize | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jumpin High Punch | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chico Is in Love | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jjj Bailando | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cajunater | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lets Flip for It | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royally Tempting | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dangerous Game | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Fabiolas Glitter Jet | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sir Diamond Corona | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Courts Dilemma | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gavins Gambler | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brontide | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angels Amazin Grace | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ph Peabody | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Firery Woman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rlr Ultimate Corona | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Louisiana Stew | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Contraire Patriot | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mps Constant Bliss | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lincolns Oak Tree | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tres Palacios | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Prize Avery | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hqh Dash of Fashion | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | American Star | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moto Piloto | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zoomin Bye Bye | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shez Fast N Furious | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nbc Catrina Dasher | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jm Party | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ttt Halo Turn | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Janes Struttin Angel | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Freakin Patriot Dash | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Salute the Sarge | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Streak of Music | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dashin Tee Pie | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zoomins Jewel | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mista Jb | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dwaynes First Perry | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First in My Class | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | News Now | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Putting On Lipstick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Eada | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ahs Blue Boy | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rhodas Man | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Games | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tee Cos At Holme | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Km One Fast Fantasy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Harems Ko Kid | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sheza Fancy Fighter | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Chema | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Brenda La Jolla | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bt Rockin | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Razzaroni | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Story Teller | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | James Junior | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saintly Prize | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heza Fast Beau | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jls Shades of Gray | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kb Shez One Dynasty | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oak Trees Chik | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sta Rich Runaway | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Regal Patriot | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bt Patriot | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Gus | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lrh Black Dog | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rakin Somekinda Cash | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Cash Hemmie | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Louisiana Boo | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jessrunawaywithme | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Nine Go | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wh Louisianablues | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Santa Bob | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Toast to Virginia | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gamelee | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Jt Cruiser | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Corona Ohara | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Game Angels | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lil Gal Pal | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Nawlins Lady | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shes a Gamble | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | O Toole Prize | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | U R Jess Blue | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lrh Jet Black | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corona At a High | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Streakin to Strut | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Renegade | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Follow My Wagon | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Sexy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kerrys First Toast | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hempen Fast Cash | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.