May 5, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | First Down Achilles | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | So Live the Queen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Truely Leavin You | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Billybob Brewbaker | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heza Dashin Dyno | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jillian R | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shes Leaving You | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Party With Braxton | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Dressblues | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Curleys Gone Gray | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zoomingprincezydeco | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Classic Gambler | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fortune for Moma | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Class Will Shine | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Babys First Prize | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Tex | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blue Eyed Cartel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | French Toasted Bt | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heisasheis | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shebe Leaving You | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Giorgino | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Fast Mom | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jess a Troubadour | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nobody Ta Blame | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stol N | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justa Runaway Dash | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Respect the Corona | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Divide That | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Illusions Run N Wild | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buckk Wheatt | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuckers Prize | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tee Man Doc | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stolis Magic Game | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Toasted Runaway | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Louisiana Fast Dash | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Gray Sixes | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Immortal Saboteur | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jls Mr Trouble | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jrs Copas Runaway | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heisasgoodasheis | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gunsmoke B | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassi Stoli | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rl Spit Tee | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Speedracer | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pm Zuppardo | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heza Flare Up | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seperate the Cash | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salty On Fire | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tf Struttin Fast | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jrs Shez Lucky Stoli | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rlr Corona Skunky | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Wanted Man | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lundi Gras Dash | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Coronablue | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sue Is My Name | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jrs Snow Prince | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cos I Get It | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dashing Red Lexus | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Piloto Man | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zoomin for Grace | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tee La Jolla | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Caliente | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hqh Runaway Gal | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Famous Aireagle | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ragin Patriot | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In Dew Time | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Her Painted Hero | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jj Will U B Mine | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ways of Cartel | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chicks One Rose | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foose Me Once | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cold Shiner Bock | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Open Me A Corona S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | San Lorenzo Corona | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Bubba Mallard | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jrs Coronas Shadow | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | One Hot Flame | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Mos Corona | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tf Racee Runaway | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ho Lotta Game | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jw Who Dat | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Yo Soy Apollitical | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tf Rowdy Cartel | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soul Custody | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fast N Fun Jordan | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ks Alabama Cartel | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My John Gotti | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victorias Caliente | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Rare Outlaw | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tnts Dynamite | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twn Dalaws Kandy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.