May 6, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lipstickonmycollar | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Asian’s Way | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spinyatta | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Rullah | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Babe | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Affair | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gia Michael | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | This Bird Can Sing | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | She’sakittykat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Say Cin Cin | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | English Dancer | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emiliana’s Hope | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamic War | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hollywood Cat | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz R Bella | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Questeq | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Saturdays Vapor | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Char | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anazara | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malarkey | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mad Dog Matters | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlonique | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Abounding Legacy | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Promises | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Student | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ruby Bleu | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Old Upstart | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Rider | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Into the Breach | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Azzedine (FR) | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Course Correction | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Im the Captain Now | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rhode Island | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mathematician | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Dream | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rain On The Dune (GB) | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roller Rolls On | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pop the Hood | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Station | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breaking the Rules | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Professor Snape | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tibr | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Becker’s Galaxy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shalako | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bow Tie Affair | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Tickle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 6 | Neoclassic | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | King of New York | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Strut N Stomp | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Poshsky | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Adventist | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Nile Prince | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Matador | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ruffian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Disguise | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Unchained Melody | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pacific Wind | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faypien | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Highway Star | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tequilita | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Secret Passage | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Preservationist | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Slim Shadey (GB) | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Monster Bea | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Secretary At War | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Snap Decision | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Weekend Express | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Parauari (FR) | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fox Rules | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mr Maybe | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fayeq | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | War Bond | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Admiral Blue | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Headfirst | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | J C S Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | The Great Johanna | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Andretta | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Speed Khaleesi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Skyler’s Lil Cutie | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Burkey’s Babe | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Celtic Serenade | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cetara | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Crater Rim | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Galway Girl | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Stormy Rita | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mighty Marin | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chenais’ Posse | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I Admire You | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Protect the King | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.