May 6, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Aunt Tillie | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Almost Reality | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Streak of Luck | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzen Glory | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | X S Gold | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quinnie | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rprettyboyfloyd | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight Blue | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Above Board | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Howdy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drummer (GER) | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Yalla | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Cream N Kafe | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mariana’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Rachel | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angel Tears | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stylist | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pray for Corday | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grecian Fort | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lula | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Diva La Mousse | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Shelby | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | An Eddie Surprise | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sekhmet’s Revenge | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiny Tina | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fellina | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady’s War Dress | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Parasail | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Beauty | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Dame | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockantharos | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Todos Santos | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dragon Flower | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Paprika | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charmingslew | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Venue | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Operandi | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Helen’s Tiger | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Sensation | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Martinis N Bikinis | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whata Flirt | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Garrulous Gal | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Adoration S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dalsaros | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Vale Dori (ARG) | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fault | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mended | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | La Force (GER) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shenandoah Queen | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Demigoddess | 50.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Achira | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speakers | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spy Ring (IRE) | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Helen Hillary | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Anne’s Lace | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battleground State | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Labhay (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Vegas Itch | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Surfside Sunset | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jerry’s Thunder | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duke of Fallbrook | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sawbuck | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Supreme Giant | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Obsession | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Crook | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Siege of Vicksburg | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.