May 11, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Game Be Me | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cl One Sweet Version | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rockin Tobago | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lota Blew by You | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Timber | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Divided Paradise | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call Her Al | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Ultima India | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Black Jet | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Runnin the Risk | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shesa Blues Girl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | A Lil Boy Blue | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jets Wide Open | 1.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Roll Over Pass | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sparklingonthebeach | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ponookies Pride | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mibyebyebaby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mac Lir | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Addyson Lee | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catchy Little Lover | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bg Sheza Eye Opener | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cosmo Otoole | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wave by You | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D Black Box | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rapid Chay | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tm Dees Prize | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Speedontopofspeed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Fish Tales | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Haydens Ransom | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Thisbugsforyou T | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sumkinda Love Game | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ainsleys Rocket | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Izit Real | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clareet | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tk Struttin All Day | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancer | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Smart Fdd | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monees Fast Cash | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One of These Daze | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sketchy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Tetris B | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Gorgeous Leon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Quick to Flirt | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | A Sizzlin Feature | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sweet Five | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Fire Cat Sm | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Piloto Ovation | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Undeniably a Corona | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hot Prize | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dales Cartel | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Leaving You Salty | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nota Ordinary Bear | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lil Biscuit | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rebas Not Done | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blue Haze | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heza Royal Patriot | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Love the Run | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ldn Dalaw Is Salty | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Famous Deoh | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Delta 550 S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Super Sonic Patriot | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gone Cartel | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Politics Here | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Temptation | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let Em Fly | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Agoutis Snowplow | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sixes Flash | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buds World | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whosgonegirl | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ldn Jessasaltydog | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hangem High | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tf Runaway Feature | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rdd Ellas Louisiana | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rebas Patriot Jet | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ima Little Runaway | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Packin a Punch | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tf Heza Dasha Fire | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mda Lookthiscountry | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rwd Worth the Weight | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dyslexic | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Derby) – Old South Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Carter II | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess Adalida | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stone Cold Leader | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Droff | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vella Buena | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sr Shambles | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunset Run | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty B Grateful | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mystical Jess | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Down N Cruzin | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.