May 12, 2018 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Angelina’s Eclipse | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pink Notion | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Scenica | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Rich | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Knock Out Kid | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kimberly B. | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Singinginstilettos | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Greek God | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Senor Louie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bestavailable | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cruise More | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | In Equality | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Chamois | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liberal Spin | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diana’s Vendetta | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Rare Eagle | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Bill | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Catmancan | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shan Dian Kia | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starry Messenger | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Tequesta Storm | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fantastic Kitten | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Out of the Fire | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sun Dress | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Friesia | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marvelous Days | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stillsexyatsixty | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Gray | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bode’s Brienne | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jacobella | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maui Wahine | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Praise the Moon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Determined | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | City Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Uhwarrie Sky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Posterity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Rule Yourself | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Slaimy | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fevered Affair | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On the Wings Of | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chocomount | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alluring Silver | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Brahms | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barin | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | You Like That | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Raphael’s Promise | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dead Broke | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Coveralls | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | View the Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Troublesome | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Janes Brew | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Notable Game | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kyleigh’s Smile | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rubys Fire | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anthem Singer | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Whiskey Wu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Native Flora | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sir Smarty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nitro Fuel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Zap Cat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Benevolentdictator | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Major Anthem | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forthegreatergood | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dragonthorn Steed | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Best Way | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smetana | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bombero | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hunt Me Down | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cibola | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valid Miracle | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hai Sierra | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lippi Lorenzo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Glad Dad | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Pass | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cool Man Cletus | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Girls Love Me | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joey Gotcha | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Phase | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bruiser | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wheels in Motion | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Toby Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bombshell | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Trace of Grace | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Full of Zip | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 7 | Point System | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Giovanna Blues | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Imply | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Arraign | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Lift Up | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Nyx Warrior | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | True Egyptian | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ginner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Top Prospect | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dazzling Okie | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mythos | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Showmeister | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Squashville Road | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Earned It | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Giggle Byte | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Smooch My Indy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beau’s Emergence | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nightmare | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Yenta | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Doit for Spite | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Sister | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scarfree | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lonely Drifter | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starlet Lady | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unkiss Me | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tamarack Gal | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.