May 16, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tm Miss Dee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr Coahuila | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heza Battmann | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fly Game Fly | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Leap Year Kash | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fast Flying Fish | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Finito Tee | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Deltas Shinin Star | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tee Will | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fast Prize Larkin | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fit to Dash Fast | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ketel Dream | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Charlie | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jumpin High Punch | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jjj Bailando | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lets Flip for It | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Bag | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Amigas | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eyes Runaway Dash | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jess Red Dash | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jess a Duke Girl | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Highlights Corona | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divide That | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mall Money Comment | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tee Cos At Holme | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shake Em Mudo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Streakin Bye U | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Pilotos Fast Dash | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toast N Good Bye | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gt Zoomin | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yippie Ki Yea | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Dreamer | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Corazon Dfuego | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Imclassified | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gray Hair Grace | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tm Lota Dasan | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crazy Agouti | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Stoli Dash | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harems Ko Kid | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alakaboom Too | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boots too Quick | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bababababababad | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Dashing Forthe Money | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Really Fast Dash | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lundi Gras Dash | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Paint Your Jewels | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gbh Heza Zippin | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jess Ah Brother | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jet Like Bernardo | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bp First Real Man | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pieper | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jls Sweetlilcoss | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hez All Fast | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madam Secretary B | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Fancy Lajolla | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Puerto Cabello | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jmf Dangerous Corona | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Six Streakin Dash | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mda in All a Trudy | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Favorite Aire | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Streakin Holland | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Mel | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Farr Real | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bye Bye Salty | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First to Count | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keep Diva N Diamonds | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spyder Passage | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Piloto First Shine | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Courage | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Provocatives Dashin | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kellies Strong Hope | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gt Sweet N Fast | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Im Toasted | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess a Fantasy Okey | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Srf Lil Beduino | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jets Fast Dash | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forever Fancy Elaine | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apolitical Blue | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Leader | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Alota Bad Habits | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tm Onesmoothmachine | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Living Alaska | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toasta Patriot Chick | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Special Triple Vodka | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tf High Kick Runaway | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.