May 17, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Havegotta Streak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Hf Mr Golden | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tm Hard Hearted | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jess Making It | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tf Bama Bux | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | First Down Tigers | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rebas All In | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Just Deadly | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Runaway Comment | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dashin and Struttin | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hakunna Matata | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Easy Sir | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Already Platinum | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | King Is On Target | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tf Dashin N Cashin | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Abby Grace | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mr Charlies Bux | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Whatafastdashinggirl | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Patriot Fantacy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sizzle Baby Sizzle | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its My Game | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zoomin for Joe | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lorenzo T | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Blue Slew | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kickin Some Coronas | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jw Naughty Girl | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shez Somekinda Fast | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jam N Jac | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Daddy Bux | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | T Girl C | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sizzlin On Da Bayou | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toasted Runaway | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Purdy Moma | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Its What It Is | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call to Action | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jessa Special Tee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blue Got Game | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Toast to You and Me | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Famous Cajun | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Salute Tee Cos | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Gutsy Eagle | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Louisiana Send Me | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strutting Passion | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freakin Patriot Dash | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strawflyin Copper | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mps Jewels Fantasy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Mary Faye | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sixy Cartel | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fixin Too | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Hot and Spicy | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hf Lluvia | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Geaux Caliente | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Teller | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Banditoe Gold | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | First Easy Doc | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Daddys Stoli | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Tf Seperatin | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Won Brave Heart | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fantasticazoom Jr | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Thisizit | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | La Libra | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jessleavethen | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Angel Bar Cartel | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Dash Joy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freestone Cartel | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | San Lorenzo Corona | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rkm a Perfect Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Im All Out | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fast Dash Chicks | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | A Canadian Chill | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Favorite Blue | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lets Jess Do It | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mariachy King | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shes Leaving You | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Dinero | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncovered Eagle | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Streakin Cindy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Igottaadios | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiburon | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nawlins Lady | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tyme Machine | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Sexy Mvp | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Sky Breeze | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tk Ms Dashaway | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Whiskey | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Jrs Mateos Fantasy | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Boom Boom Boom | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Jess an Kickin Idea | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jla Touch of Russ | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Juniors Special Dash | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shesa Dash of Magic | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aint I Leaving You | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Triple Provocative | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.