May 19, 2018 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Autostrade | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flash Attack | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hill Shadow | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beeks | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taco Supream | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Correjon | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wildcatpleasures | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | R Hot Twenty’s | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | She Doesn’t Mind (FR) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Contrarian | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Conjecture | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Critical Humor | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sophia Is an Angel | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going Out | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aquamarina (GB) | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Clare’s Dowery | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Girl | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Monte Crista | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bring Me Answers | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oh My | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forge | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pop Keenan | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ballivor | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Farm | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Team Tim | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bestkindoftrouble | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parade of Nations | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willie B Mine | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mai Ty One On | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 12 | American Sailor | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warleigh | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fear | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Square Shooter | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grandiflora | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 13 | Dothat Dance | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Youdge | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jarvis Steel | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Against the Win | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Williwaw | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Nice Tune | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bella Brown | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – James W. Murphy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Black Stetson | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coltandmississippi | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Threes Over Deuces | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Say the Word | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whirlin Curlin | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Night | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magicalmeister | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Daddy | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Takedown | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Mojo | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Strike | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Deal Driven | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belfour | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bo Vuk | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legend’s Hope | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Domination | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heat Dome | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sidewalk Prophet | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Kick | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Dixie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | World Approval | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frostmourne | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Divisidero | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Juan | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Away | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Howard | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doctor Mounty | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | O Dionysus | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Chick Lang S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mitole | 0.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soutache | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run Away | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curly’s Rocket | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Old Time Revival | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pure Shot | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Still Having Fun | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clouded Judgement | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aqua Bel Sar | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gallorette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cambodia | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elysea’s World (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ultra Brat | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stallion Heiress | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooks House | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Ponchatrain | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Silence (FR) | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Event | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Maryland Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lewisfield | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Colonel | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fellowship | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Switzerland | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Long Haul Bay | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Dragon Tattoo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sonny Inspired | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laki | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heartwood | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – The Very One S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Girls Know Best | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Perfection | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Smiling Causeway | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Just Talkin | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Carolina Shag | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chanteline | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Miss Gossip (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jessica Krupnick | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boos (FR) | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anna’s Bandit | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daylight Ahead | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victorias Fire | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Keep Your Distance | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel At War | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Larc Sir Barton S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ax Man | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pony Up | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Title Ready | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prince Lucky | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Threes Over Deuces | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream Baby Dream | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forest Fire | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Navy Commander | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | California Night | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Takedown | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whirlin Curlin | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Justify | 0.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Magic | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lone Sailor | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bravazo | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quip | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tenfold | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond King | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sporting Chance | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Ugottahaveheart | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Iredell | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Phil’s Cocktail | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Sir Bond | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Appealing Future | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Sky Chaparral | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Draxhall Woods | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Hurler | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Union Blues | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Far From Awesome | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.