May 20, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hey Big Guy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Freeload | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Justinspeightofit | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Troopingthecolor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Merger of Banks | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Run Rate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Stormy Forecast | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | C K Dexter Haven | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tom’s Music | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Bridey’s Kitten | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reign Charger | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Way Over Budget | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mama’s Red Hat | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Promise | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abeja Negra | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Pleasantly | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Road | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dr Luber’s Kiss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Excluded | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Summer Bourbon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Canarsie Kid | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ranger in Paradise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Forest Blue | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Too Fast to Pass | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | No Hiding Place | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Conquest Twister | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Foreset | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bolita Boyz | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Francis Freud | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady of Miracles | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Caitriona | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Barrel of Destiny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dream Passage | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Crater Rim | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Copperline | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Sass | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fiveinthemorning | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Stonefactor | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Scorpion Bowl | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Kreah’s Ribbon | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Walk of Fame | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Sundance Joy | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spinyatta | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ritzy Lass | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Bounty | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Madame Barbarian | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jcs American Dream | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doinwhatshelikes | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fast as Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | English Channical | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Casa Rae | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Space Captain | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Raging Fire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sharp Bid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gambler’s Fallacy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Lemon Blitz | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Theresa’s Boy | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 6 | Beach Access | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 3 | Last Chant | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Won’t Be Missed | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Forest Ladd | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Killiney Hill | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Homeland Security | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flower Fashion (FR) | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapella | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Samuna (FR) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Savannah Belle | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Expresso | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Hitter | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Appealing Henry | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swift One | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Full of Mine | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Buzz | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joopster | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caniform | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.