June 7, 2018 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dream Maker | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready and Rich | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alwaysmining | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thousand Percent | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fluminense | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Land Broker | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Acumen | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Lu Lu | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wood Not Mind | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kate N Abs Reward | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show Me Indy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Budget Cut | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cruz Diez | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Son of a Saint | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sky Promise | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | His Royal Majesty | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Norco | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Minegold | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zarski | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Giant | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | B Efficient | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | First Set | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Aggravator | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Ship Stalker | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tap You’re It | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Myluckycharm | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Uncle Pancho | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mini Chunk | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Big Tom D | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Hitthegroundrunnin | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Soul P Say | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Mission | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trading Cash | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doctor Lee | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maximus Dan | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cause to Action | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Times Two | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jailhouse Kitten | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reprove | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Violent Storm | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harlan Selection (ARG) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tobias | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lo’s Journey | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Great Sky | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indium | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Something Bird | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Huntin Buddy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Iconic | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nice Not Nice | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | He Takes Charge | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Determinant | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Super Derecho | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quality Rolls | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz Our Turn | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | She Loves Leather | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Herald Square | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lookforasmile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Zipperini | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Getupbabygetup | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashleys Magens Bay | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Precisely Ponti | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Eight Thirtyone | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Weef | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Littlebitcranky | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bill’s Wealthygirl | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Masked Talent | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.