July 4, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Hf Mr Golden |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pilotos Sewell |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Red River Phoebe |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lil Bit Toasted |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Corona Leaving First |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kerrys Runaway Dash |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Watch How Fast I Am |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dancing With Sixes |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bo Dittle |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Aidans First Corona |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Tf Dashin N Cashin |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mason B Strokin |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mda Miss Jess Roll |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shine for the Money |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Blaze Forward |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Struttin My Love |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mps Cash No Check |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gabxim |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Msmholydownillusion |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Patriotsastreakin |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Hannas Crazygirl |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
8 |
Fish in the Vodka |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
4 |
See Me Streakin Bye |
1.40 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Bayou Bux |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
7 |
Jrs Shez Lucky Stoli |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Blue Got Game |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
5 |
Pass the Day |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Jet Black Rugaru |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cw Miss Quick Cash |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Kellies Strong Hope |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Moonlight and You |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
River by the Oak |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Piloto Shiner |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Black Ice |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jrs Coronas Hotshot |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Saintly Prize |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tissie Fast Dash |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Special Prize Dash |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mps Constant Bliss |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tex Bok |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Fast Pipity |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Count Azoom |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Hqh Platinum Runaway |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Bc Kissmeinthedark |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Prize Trick |
12.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Jessrunawaywithme |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Seperate the Cash |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fjr Anudder Butter |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Adios Jess |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bottom Dollar |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Storm Patriot |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Louisiana Coronablue |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Mr Mandalay |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Im in Da Game |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Jet Like Bernardo |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Lady Odette |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Fast Prize Avery |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Hi Rollin |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
3 |
Tee La Jolla |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Rebas Patriot Jet |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tf Corona Jesse |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cartel Majic |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tm Cuervo |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Leavin You Tonight |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jetin Wyatt |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tf Strutt Your Staff |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coronas Magic Rose |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heza Runaway Dash |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mexican Girl |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Jets Wide Open |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Three Times Corona |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sparklingonthebeach |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Haulin Shiney |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Streakin Bc |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rlr Ultimate Corona |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Roll Over Pass |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Special Crown Romeo |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fire On Ease |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fast Dancing Chick |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Rf Shez Leaving You |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Private First Prize |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jls Tee Cos Jr |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ryans Louisiana Cool |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Runaway Mallard |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dashin Swinger |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tf Dashin Ms Perry |
6.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Da Pool Do |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Little Toy Guns |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nick Saban |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Futurity) – Firecracker Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Patriotic Games |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boldt |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fm Im a Zatanaz Too |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Iona Ec |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Moment of Fury |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Deisel Freight Train |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Parti Wagon |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Throw Th Dice |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jess Mad |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Enid Girl |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Make Mine First |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gettin Bye On Vodka |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bayou Vodka |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mda Lookthiscountry |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jessies Fast Dash |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Yo Bo |
6.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
My John Gotti |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mswandas Dashingfast |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Divided Paradise |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rf Sey What |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.