Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, July 4, 2018

July 4, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hf Mr Golden 2.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Pilotos Sewell 3.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Red River Phoebe 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Lil Bit Toasted 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Corona Leaving First 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Kerrys Runaway Dash 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Watch How Fast I Am 30.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Dancing With Sixes 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Bo Dittle 15.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Aidans First Corona 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tf Dashin N Cashin 2.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Mason B Strokin 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Mda Miss Jess Roll 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Shine for the Money 4.50 4.6 9-1
9 9 Blaze Forward 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Struttin My Love 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Mps Cash No Check 30.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Gabxim 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Msmholydownillusion 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Patriotsastreakin 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Hannas Crazygirl 30.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Fish in the Vodka 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 4 See Me Streakin Bye 1.40 3.5 7-1
8 6 Bayou Bux 15.00 3.7 7-1
9 7 Jrs Shez Lucky Stoli 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Blue Got Game 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 5 Pass the Day 30.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Jet Black Rugaru 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Cw Miss Quick Cash 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Kellies Strong Hope 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Moonlight and You 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 River by the Oak 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Piloto Shiner 2.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Black Ice 5.00 5 9-1
8 8 Jrs Coronas Hotshot 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Saintly Prize 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Tissie Fast Dash 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Special Prize Dash 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Mps Constant Bliss 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tex Bok 4.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Fast Pipity 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 7 Count Azoom 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Hqh Platinum Runaway 3.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Bc Kissmeinthedark 5.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Prize Trick 12.00 5 10-1
6 5 Jessrunawaywithme 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Seperate the Cash 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Fjr Anudder Butter 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Adios Jess 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bottom Dollar 6.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Storm Patriot 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 5 Louisiana Coronablue 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 4 Mr Mandalay 4.00 4 8-1
10 9 Im in Da Game 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Jet Like Bernardo 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Lady Odette 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Fast Prize Avery 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Hi Rollin 30.00 6.9 13-1
4 3 Tee La Jolla 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rebas Patriot Jet 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Tf Corona Jesse 3.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Cartel Majic 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Tm Cuervo 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Leavin You Tonight 5.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Jetin Wyatt 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Tf Strutt Your Staff 6.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Coronas Magic Rose 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Heza Runaway Dash 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Mexican Girl 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Jets Wide Open 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Three Times Corona 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Sparklingonthebeach 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 Haulin Shiney 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Streakin Bc 4.00 5 9-1
8 8 Rlr Ultimate Corona 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Roll Over Pass 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Special Crown Romeo 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Fire On Ease 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Fast Dancing Chick 30.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rf Shez Leaving You 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Private First Prize 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Jls Tee Cos Jr 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Ryans Louisiana Cool 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Miss Runaway Mallard 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Dashin Swinger 6.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Tf Dashin Ms Perry 6.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Da Pool Do 8.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Little Toy Guns 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Nick Saban 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Futurity) – Firecracker Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Patriotic Games 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Boldt 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Fm Im a Zatanaz Too 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Iona Ec 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Moment of Fury 15.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Deisel Freight Train 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Parti Wagon 3.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Throw Th Dice 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Jess Mad 15.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Enid Girl 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Make Mine First 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Gettin Bye On Vodka 2.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Bayou Vodka 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Mda Lookthiscountry 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Jessies Fast Dash 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Yo Bo 6.00 5 10-1
8 8 My John Gotti 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Mswandas Dashingfast 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Divided Paradise 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Rf Sey What 15.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.