July 4, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Downside Up | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Working | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mago Blanco | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Latitude | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Seeker | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Going Away Party | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Regulate | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stonegate | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Littlebitamedal | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pleasant d’Oro | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Friendly Outthedor | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cold Brew Kid | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Louden’s Gray | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Koreano | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adriatic Son | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rocky’s Show | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devils Informer | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mason B | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lil Miss Moppet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Katieleigh | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bellafina | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keeper Ofthe Stars | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Offer | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Point Received | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pablo’s Dream | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Above Board | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Pappou | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Plum Dandy | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ralis | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sunny Kat | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Run Like Rhett | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jade Dee | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So I Sang | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Suspicious Spouse | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Little Unruly | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Power | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Now Blessed | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grandma Neta | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nice Haircut | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peedie | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oliver | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starring John Wain | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Ay Em | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | King Charlie | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feeling Strong | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Silver Oak | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Bingley | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Testimony | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bertrando S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Acceptance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | B Squared | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Grecian Fire | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Mark | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soi Phet | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grazen Sky | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taman Guard | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Continental Divide | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Make It a Triple | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 98 | Campaigner | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Junior Gilliam | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Catfish Hunter | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fire to the Wire | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Will Tell | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Joe Jackson | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sunset Seven | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Morgan S. | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rinse and Repeat | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hardcore Troubador | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Wine and Dine | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nova | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.