July 5, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Tf High Flyin Dash |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
9 |
Fast Prize Baby |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Ttt Monti Dash |
5.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kb Chicks Black Rose |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Putting On Lipstick |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Corona Leavin Sunset |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cruising for Cash |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Leroys Dash N Wreck |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blue Games |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ellionne Jolie |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Thunder Tiger Too |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Dashing Miss Jess |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Black Gol |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jess Courage |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ub a Sizzler |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Whiplash McDash |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tf Eyes R Dashin |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ojos de Angel |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rdd Dash Ta Fame |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Skirt Chaser |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Ima Dashing Hero |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Comets Game |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Dibs |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Lady Corona Lee |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Copper Speed Rocket |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Whiskey Brown |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Flippin Lucky |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Aint Eye Something |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ttt La Consentida |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rm Runaway Dash |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
8 |
Jumpn Toast |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Tf Bama Bux |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Kate Cartel |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Ima Little Runaway |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Tg Blue Too |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
2 |
Stoli Ur Wagon |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Aint I Leaving You |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Flight Rysk |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Dashin Too |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Gettin On It |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Makin It With Brooks |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tax Evasion |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jess Making It |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Barr Belle |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Just Deadly |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rl Jet Blue |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
J J Runaway Dash |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Josie Whales |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Janies Choice |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tk Ms Dashaway |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
7 |
Mr Coco Pilota |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seven Point Three |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Toast to Logan |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heza Truckin |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Lets Jess Do It |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Truely Leavin You |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
3 |
Purdy Moma |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Streakin Bye U |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Blue Eyed Cartel |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Catchy Little Lover |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Leaving You Salty |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
9 |
Dales Cartel |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ms Addyson Lee |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Fastdown |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Fast Prize Runner |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Heza Fast Talker |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Spit in My Corona |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
I Got the Boy |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ryan Mooned You |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Jazzing Lil Reba |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Washta Magnolia |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jrs Egos Runaway |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lucky Kind of Game |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Eye Heart Blue |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
9 |
Tdz Dashin Toast |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ur Otis |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chicks One Rose |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rebas Tres Seis |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sir Angel |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Olivias Patriot |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Mimi by the River |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mia Jet In |
1.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
First Jess Cartel |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Piloto Ovation |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shaken the Blues |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Hydro |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gottakeeplovin |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fm Cartel Rock |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jess a Patriot |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Par A Dice S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Capital Ice |
2.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dutcher |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Going Hot |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
A Canadian Chill |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ms Leaving You |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mps Shake Em N Style |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lil Bro Big Streak |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sassy Chic 3341 |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Game Angels |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heza Truckin |
20.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Ubalon |
10.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Perrys Jumpn Beduino |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gunna Be Alright |
2.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
El Nilo |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Party With Braxton |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Geaux Blue |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Little Debbie D |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jess Toastem |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gorethas Runaway |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dash to Intrigue |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Love You Blue |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Streakin Wolf Pride |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Special Results |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Plumb Hollywood |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Class Will Shine |
3.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ms Black Magic Dash |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Slizzlin Steele |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bringinghomethemoney |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.