Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 5, 2018

July 5, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tf High Flyin Dash 3.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Fast Prize Baby 2.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Ttt Monti Dash 5.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Kb Chicks Black Rose 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Putting On Lipstick 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Corona Leavin Sunset 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Cruising for Cash 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Leroys Dash N Wreck 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Blue Games 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Ellionne Jolie 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Thunder Tiger Too 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dashing Miss Jess 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Black Gol 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Jess Courage 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ub a Sizzler 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Whiplash McDash 4.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Tf Eyes R Dashin 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Ojos de Angel 30.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Rdd Dash Ta Fame 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Skirt Chaser 12.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ima Dashing Hero 12.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Comets Game 2.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Dibs 3.50 3.3 6-1
10 9 Lady Corona Lee 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Copper Speed Rocket 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Whiskey Brown 3.00 5 9-1
5 4 Flippin Lucky 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Aint Eye Something 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Ttt La Consentida 30.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Rm Runaway Dash 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 8 Jumpn Toast 2.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Tf Bama Bux 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Kate Cartel 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 7 Ima Little Runaway 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Tg Blue Too 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 2 Stoli Ur Wagon 2.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Aint I Leaving You 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Flight Rysk 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 1 Dashin Too 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Gettin On It 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Makin It With Brooks 2.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Tax Evasion 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Jess Making It 3.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Barr Belle 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Just Deadly 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Rl Jet Blue 10.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 J J Runaway Dash 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Josie Whales 30.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Janies Choice 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 Tk Ms Dashaway 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Mr Coco Pilota 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Seven Point Three 2.50 4.1 8-1
7 6 Toast to Logan 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Heza Truckin 20.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Lets Jess Do It 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Truely Leavin You 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Purdy Moma 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Streakin Bye U 15.00 6 11-1
5 4 Blue Eyed Cartel 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Catchy Little Lover 4.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Leaving You Salty 3.00 1.9 4-1
10 9 Dales Cartel 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Ms Addyson Lee 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Fastdown 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Fast Prize Runner 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Heza Fast Talker 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Spit in My Corona 10.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 I Got the Boy 12.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Ryan Mooned You 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jazzing Lil Reba 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Washta Magnolia 1.80 2.2 4-1
6 6 Jrs Egos Runaway 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lucky Kind of Game 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Eye Heart Blue 5.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Tdz Dashin Toast 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Ur Otis 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Chicks One Rose 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Rebas Tres Seis 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Sir Angel 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Olivias Patriot 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mimi by the River 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Mia Jet In 1.50 3 6-1
10 9 First Jess Cartel 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Piloto Ovation 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Shaken the Blues 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Miss Hydro 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Gottakeeplovin 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Fm Cartel Rock 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Jess a Patriot 30.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Par A Dice S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Capital Ice 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Dutcher 4.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Going Hot 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 A Canadian Chill 8.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Ms Leaving You 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Mps Shake Em N Style 4.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 Lil Bro Big Streak 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Sassy Chic 3341 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Game Angels 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Heza Truckin 20.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ubalon 10.00 4 7-1
5 5 Perrys Jumpn Beduino 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Gunna Be Alright 2.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 El Nilo 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Party With Braxton 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Geaux Blue 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Little Debbie D 4.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Jess Toastem 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Gorethas Runaway 30.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Dash to Intrigue 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Love You Blue 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Streakin Wolf Pride 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Special Results 2.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Plumb Hollywood 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Class Will Shine 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Ms Black Magic Dash 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Slizzlin Steele 15.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Bringinghomethemoney 30.00 6.5 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.