July 5, 2018 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mingo Bullet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Her Way Or No Way | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alleyes On Wilma | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beananti | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kitty Catty | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hummazing | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tiz On Fire | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dancewithfire | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cash Tiz Wonderful | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Schuyler Warrior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | We’ve Got to Talk | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Misty Journey | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Native Princess | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Do It | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | It’s the Swede | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stalker | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Today’s Talk | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cinnfully Loud | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classy and Fast | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Music | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What a Patriot | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Sugar Rush | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tyrnies Edith Dahl | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ganzumacher | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Summer King | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rocketringo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Killer Party | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Headed Jerry | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Time Limit | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talent Risk | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | At Your Word | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Break Free | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royally Divine | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Johnny’s Gone Wild | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | To the King | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Super Day | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Classic Pursuit | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | K Street | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Got Mojo | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cat Got Even | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | What’s in the Box | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jersey Red | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mountain On Fire | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Saylorville S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Golden Mischief | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jersey Heist | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swing and Sway | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Bunny | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamin | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foxy Mischief | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Defy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Decant | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Divine Dutchess | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mended | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jenda’s Agenda | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dreamcall | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Power | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Babybluesbdancing | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foxy Fleda | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mostly Awesome | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Iowa Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rayya | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Sassy Sienna | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Testing One Two | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cosmic Burst | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Terra’s Angel | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Julie | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shes Our Fastest | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tell Your Mama | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hold Her Tight | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baydar | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dad’s Stiff Drink | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grade | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cosmologist | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Newport Beach | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daring Ego | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oh Bette | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Real Heat | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thunderupalley | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elusive Blueboy | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swift Shock | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Bubba | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smartified | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reverend Sam | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dowlingfourtyeight | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.