July 6, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Black Heaven | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Rakin Somekinda Cash | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tdz Jes a Dynasty | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hconecoolstoli | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kg Flyin First Class | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Areba Jarred | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Velvets Moonflash | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Black Reba | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Eyesa Jumpn Game | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thinkin of Streakin | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fixin Too | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Sheza Piloto Habit | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cuervo for Mygirls | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Streaking Ragazzo | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | This Babe Zooms | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Streakinlady Patriot | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | McM Little Rat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Warriors Magic Man | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Banditoe Gold | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Game Woman | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kashs Bar Habits | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Jetblack Heartattack | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rio Rojo Sizzler | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hot Rascal | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jess a Duke Girl | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Louisiana Whiskey | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Waylons Stormy Wagon | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fleur des Lis | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chicks First Patty | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dazzle Cartel | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rio Rojo Cosino | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dukes First Prize | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ketel Dream | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajunater | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fit to Dash Fast | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ap Shine On Me | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lets Flip for It | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jls High Flying Joey | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Acadian Angel | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iam Pascual Cartel | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jjs Brandys Hero | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hezafastbaby | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Piloto the Dominator | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prizetakesall | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Volcom Royalty | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bye Caliente | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wagon Ride | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Buckk Wheatt | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sue Is My Name | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foose Me Once | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bjs Going Going Gone | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Like Bux | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runaway With Mee | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fire in Hollywood | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jt Ima Streakin | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reno 14 | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mda Say Forst | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pocket Strike | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mister Nolen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Jessa Ladies Man | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Really Fast Dash | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Jw Losin Control | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heza Dash Faster | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr Maddoxpatriot | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | This Games Special | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | All Blinged Up | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Monees Fast Cash | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Raineys Game | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Miss Polly Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tf Racee Runaway | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Fdp Rock Solid | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gianni Que | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eye N Capo | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jes a Spitfire | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zenergetic | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hez Kwik | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Golden Bowl | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bababababababad | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Buds World | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ldn Jessasaltydog | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dwaynes First Perry | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nl Roll N Toast | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jla Tippy Toe Joe | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Santa Bob | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Attackdog 89 | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strawflyin Tac | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dashin Tee Pie | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zoomin for Grace | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Mariachy King | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Memphis D Nasty | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Corona Tres Cash | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bankin On Bux | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dlj Imma B Famous | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mda Game | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rkm a Perfect Storm | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rf My Special Duck | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Key Needed | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heza Fast Eagle | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fmhezadixieflyerrock | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Blue | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Jess | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Louisianabluebeauty | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Daddys Stoli | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ahs Streakin Patriot | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alota Bad Habits | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cl One Sweet Version | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Showed Ya | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rnr Kas Papa Said So | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Corona Pop | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mps Triple Tequila | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lp Jess for Cash | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Strawflyin Cash | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hezillusional | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jw Naughty Girl | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | High On Teecos | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ricks Stoli | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ttt Lucero Blanco | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.