July 8, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Insubordination | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Walker | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Ginger | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johann’s Command | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Batman | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hartel | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Owning | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | More Ice | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tariq | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alleva | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Honeymoonz Over | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neighborhood Bully | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Isee It in Hiseyes | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Cruze | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giddymeister | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Omdurman | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Four Gaels | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stretch | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love Your Life | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | West a While | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Come On Spanky | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | South Americain | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Angel | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Howdy | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drummer (GER) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steel Plank | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Rahy | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tacy | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Cream N Kafe | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swiss Chalet | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madera Jubilee | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nana’s Rule | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Full Value | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Coated World | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Coronado Cool | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Herunbridledpower | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peaked | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tuscany Beauty | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Forthenineteen | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Honor Maker | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Old Indian Trick | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Livin On Prayer | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jerry’s Thunder | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ostini | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Machete | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Doo Run Run | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Death Dealer | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goldie’s Hills | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.