July 13, 2018 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Autumn Twilight | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asem | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lisa Largo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Bliss | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nazareth | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’sluckythatway | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gayebird | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Pretty Hussar | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Be Lifted Up | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hit It Twice | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Awepollonia | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kathia | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Great Salvation | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Traffic Thief | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hackleton | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shackalov | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Farmer | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unusual Meeting | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Buck Duane | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Imagineiamfastest | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brighton Boy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | June Sixth | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It Makes Sense | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Irish Ballad | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Henry | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blame It Onthesong | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Chickatini | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Convince | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She Fox | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Mine | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Del Mar Babe | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | At the Margin | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daddy’s Mistress | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gracie Belle | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Image | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Late Night Ride | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Filthy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storms a Brewn | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orizaba | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Psychedelicat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | King Eddie | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R Cha Cha | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Candyman Garret | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zapana’s Game | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhettbutler | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cyclolite | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Downhill Run | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Artistic Ab | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Twisted Road | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | From the Distance | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rebel On the Run | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Harper’s Gem | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ruff House | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Lion Command | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Derby Factor | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | One True King | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Beloved Holiday | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.