July 29, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | A Little Unruly | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Tiz Toffee | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Danuska’s My Girl | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Midnight Affair | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Exes N Ohs | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Don’teatmycookies | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Victoria’sprospect | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jet Set Man | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Calvert Street | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mason B | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Forest Chatter | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dreamer’s Reality | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Croissant | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | King Abner | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hollywood Square | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ultimate Bango | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Morgan S. | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Salient | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Psycho Dar | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Vutzak | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yes I’m Ready | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Anonymity | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Life’s Blessings | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Spiral Jetter | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Tariff | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | True Royalty | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mistressofthenight | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Munny Spunt | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Time for Ebby | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Orizaba | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miss Dialed | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Friars Walk (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hyde Park Corner (IRE) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Vibrance | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Algorithmnblues | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Colonial Creed | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summering | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zip’s Secret | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kathryn’s Sky | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Lady Is Enough | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Girl Can Partie | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bennet | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whats Yur Story | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Clement L. Hirsch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Turkish Tabby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Unique Bella | 0.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Force (GER) | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yuvetsi | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shenandoah Queen | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bernina Star | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Easy Keeper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Runningwscissors | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Parsimony | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jefe | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gunmetal Gray | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roadster | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Savagery | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thin Line | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Istanbul | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seven Oxen | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Of Good Report | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | View Magic | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Pyscho Sister | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Beautiful Becca | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Zaffinah (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | The Tulip (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheekaboo | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quebec | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Painting Corners | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | India Mantuana | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Causeway Carolyn | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Sugars (GB) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poster Girl (GB) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fuerza | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Dance | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hennessy Express | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fleet Treat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Donut Girl | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Spiced Perfection | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Fast Broad | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loving Lynda | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Show It N Moe It | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Grazed Me | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Impecunious | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kimberlea K | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | El Tovar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Raven Creek | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | California Journey | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Save Ground | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drizzy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Senator Robert | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Six Point Rack | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unpossible | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Huddle | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Premium Forest | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jersey’s Heat | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Accreditation | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Satori | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.