August 9, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Molly’s Party | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jot | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honorable Rose | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time Warp | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss After School | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quietude | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caralicious | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ok Honey | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Florida First | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Free Kitty | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Brooklyn Gerty | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fingerpaint | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Malarkey | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sacrifice | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Parlapiano | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Mason Factor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Foxie’s First Pick | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Enchanted Forest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Surface Strike | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cross Multiply | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dove Shoot | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quintarelli | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Ed’s Quick Cat | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bunyan’s Axe | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flat Bill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Congruity | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Year of the Kitten | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Maimo | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Single Gem | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Steelersfanforlife | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Phone Funky Munky | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spectacular Plum | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Espresso Caliente | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Michael Wonderful | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Potomac | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gio Lucky | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Lights | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southeast | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish Ghost | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flatexcel | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shipsandgoods | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Honor | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buss the Bell | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Secret Passage | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Team Colors | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Aquaphobia | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Ticonderoga | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Siding Spring | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | King Kreesa | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Tide | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Aubenas (FR) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pink Twist | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Puffery | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pas de Deuce | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salty Smile | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Annie | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peaches and Spice | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mentality | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Codrington | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Aunt Babe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Roxy Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Starlite Mission | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Goodbye Brockley | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kreesie | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wegetsdamunnys | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Byself | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Barrel of Destiny | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crashing Connie | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Jen | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Quietly Quick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dreamers and Me | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Andretta | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Something Joyful | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ed S Queen | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 3 | St Edmond’s Girl | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Mama Mary | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Carrera Cat | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Dorothy’s Dream | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Magical Romance | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 1 | Mamma White Socks | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.