August 16, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Union Wise | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Throw the Fade | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Mantle | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Somebody | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Top Czar | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Watch What Happens | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seauxtale | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Securitiz | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doyouknowsomething | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let Me Go First | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battle Midway | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Believe in Luck | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halloween Horror | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Union Avenue S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Picco Uno | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bonita Bianca | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swing and Sway | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Absatootly | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wonderment | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | No Stone Unturned | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sassy Agnes | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Love and Love | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ruvies in Time | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kitty’s Legacy | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tradeable | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Devil’s Flair | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Two Cent Tootsie | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rossby | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sander’s Empire | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zip It Jess | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hardly a Secret | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bad Student | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mills | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ekhtibaar | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Astounding | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Souperfast | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thatcher Street | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Ramsey | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Giant Run | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tusk | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zefiro | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shamcat | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Odramark | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Believe in Victory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Pink Sands | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Curlism | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chamber | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Face It | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Hester | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Hey Good Lookin | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Glory | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bon Raison | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Admiral Blue | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Casses Story | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hollywood Handsome | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Virtual Machine | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adulator | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tapsolute | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | General Downs | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Romantic Babe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Eight Minute Ellie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Mimosa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fairy Link | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Piedi Bianchi | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Aunt Babe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Naples Legacy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Cool Beans | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sister Sunday | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Altea (FR) | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katie Cruel (FR) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quivery | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Subtle Step | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emmy Performance | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Data Dependent | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hail | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bank Examiner | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | First Forever | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mike’s Girl | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Espresso Shot | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Docs Way | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alphabetting | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Andarta | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mineshaft Blues | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lady Day | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Plink Freud | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trumpit | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.