August 24, 2018 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 9 | Sounds Good | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mister Muy Bien | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pipes | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Beachside | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Analyzethisandthat | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Grin | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Qian B C | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Semper Paratus | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empiremeister | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Tale | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bozzini | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | H Man | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Express | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Zip | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freud’s Affair | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leap to Glory | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Samay | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Wushu Warrior | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8A | 8 | It’s Hot Out | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Albany S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Speke | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Evaluator | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Foam | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spectacular Kid | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Singapore Trader | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Analyze the Odds | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Guy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mary’s Girl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Alreadycelebrating | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shak’s Hidden Gem | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mensa Member | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Jewels | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shady Shady Shady | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiztinabella | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caralicious | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Empress Sophia | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss After School | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gypsy Mama | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tashmoo | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Funny Cide S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Woodbury | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Red Zinger | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bankit | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dugout | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dalliance | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin to Be Loved | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Fuerza | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Stoney Bennett | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Samadi Sky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | The Caretaker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Frisky Magician | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Tom | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Polar Axis | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ethan Hunt | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Banana Thief | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Discretionary Marq | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speightful Kitten | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Crocheron Kid | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Seeking The Ante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Collegeville Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Debate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Party Like Grandma | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maiden Beauty | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Trouble | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Time Warp | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icy Lady | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harley Q | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Yaddo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Munchkin Money | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | La Moneda | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fifty Five | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feeling Bossy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Overnegotiate | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Canoe | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tizzelle | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Joan | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Purrageous Dyna | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Fleet Indian S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Purely Lucky | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Split Time | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Aubrey | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | English Soul | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rachel’s Blue Moon | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cause We Are Loyal | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Indy’s Lady | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Held Accountable | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pas de Deuce | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aunt Babe | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Super Nova | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – West Point S. Presented By Trustco Bank
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | J J’s Dreaming | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Clutch Cargo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Offering Plan | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tapitation | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morrison | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kharafa | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Kreesa | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rapt | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Memories of Peter | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The J Y | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Maverick | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Black Tide | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Step to the Bank | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Neutral Zone | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Foxie’s First Pick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wild William | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cross Multiply | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Causforcelebration | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Brockmoninoff | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good Old Boy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enchanted Forest | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | The Mason Factor | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Back of the Watch | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quintarelli | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Worries Mate | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pequeno Grande | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.